US stock / ETF

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish91%
Monthly Upside probability 91%Bullish

JPM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $164.3 and reclaim $366.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $164.3 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 63.4, MACD -1.274

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $29.01 (8.76%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$327.95Bullish
EMA 21$300.65Bullish
EMA 50$248.35Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.4 · MACD -1.274

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $29.01 · BB 37.64%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.6 · OBV 25.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$164.3 - $366.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.39% · 2.2 ATR above latest close

$395.51
Nearest resistance

+10.63% · 1.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$366.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$331.28
Nearest support

-50.4% · 5.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$164.3
Deeper support zone

-59.16% · 6.8 ATR below latest close

$135.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$302.27 - $360.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $366.5, invalidation $279.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.6 / 26.0 / 10.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$242.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$303.18 / $233.89Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$29.01 (8.76%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.64%

72%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$361.41 / $244.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$302.27 / $360.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$164.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.274Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

59.7 / 68.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-40.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

81.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

25.38%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $366.5, invalidation $279.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.6 / 26.0 / 10.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$242.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$303.18 / $233.89Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.274Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

59.7 / 68.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-40.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

81.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$29.01 (8.76%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.64%

72%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$361.41 / $244.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$302.27 / $360.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

25.38%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$164.3Range

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