US stock / ETF

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish70%
Weekly Downside probability 70%Bearish

JPM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $337.28 and stabilize above resistance $366.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $366.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.0, MACD -3.622

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $12.09 (3.62%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$338.8Bearish
EMA 21$337.28Bearish
EMA 50$322.48Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.0 · MACD -3.622

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.09 · BB 13.19%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.6 · OBV 9.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$279.1 - $366.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.19% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$378.59
Nearest resistance

+9.58% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$366.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$334.47
Nearest support

-16.55% · 4.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$279.1
Deeper support zone

-20.17% · 5.6 ATR below latest close

$267.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$322.37 - $346.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $325.07, invalidation $344.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.9 / 16.5 / 20.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$298.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$337.03 / $322.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$12.09 (3.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.19%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$361.6 / $313.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$322.37 / $346.56Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$279.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.622Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.7 / 24.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $325.07, invalidation $344.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.9 / 16.5 / 20.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$298.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$337.03 / $322.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.622Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.7 / 24.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$12.09 (3.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.19%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$361.6 / $313.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$322.37 / $346.56Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$279.1Range

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