US stock / ETF

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.

JKHY · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

JKHY 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $160.37 and stabilize above resistance $170.83.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $170.83 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.5, MACD -0.254

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $3.17 (2.01%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$158.69Bearish
EMA 21$160.37Bearish
EMA 50$161.97Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.5 · MACD -0.254

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.17 · BB 8.42%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.5 · OBV -139.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$151.64 - $170.83

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.45% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$174
Nearest resistance

+8.43% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$170.83
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$157.55
Nearest support

-3.75% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$151.64
Deeper support zone

-5.76% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$148.47
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$154.37 - $160.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $151.64, invalidation $160.58

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.7 / 29.7 / 29.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$147.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$159.37 / $162.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.17 (2.01%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.42%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$167.22 / $153.31Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$154.37 / $160.72Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$170.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$151.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.254Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.8 / 41.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-139.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $151.64, invalidation $160.58

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.7 / 29.7 / 29.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$147.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$159.37 / $162.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.254Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.8 / 41.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.17 (2.01%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.42%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$167.22 / $153.31Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$154.37 / $160.72Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-139.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$170.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$151.64Range

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