US stock / ETF

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.

JKHY · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish91%
Weekly Downside probability 91%Bearish

JKHY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $147.42 and stabilize above resistance $192.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $192.89 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.9, MACD -2.078

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.94 (7.36%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$135.85Bearish
EMA 21$147.42Bearish
EMA 50$158.04Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.9 · MACD -2.078

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.94 · BB 35.90%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 26.5 · OBV -108.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$123.05 - $192.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+50.24% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$202.82
Nearest resistance

+42.88% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$192.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$135
Nearest support

-8.86% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$123.05
Deeper support zone

-16.22% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$113.11
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$125.06 - $144.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $132.42, invalidation $172.66

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

64.7 / 5.0 / 34.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.73 / $157.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.94 (7.36%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.90%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$166.02 / $127.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.06 / $144.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$192.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$123.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.078Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.7 / 13.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-108.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.27xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $132.42, invalidation $172.66

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

64.7 / 5.0 / 34.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.73 / $157.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.078Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.7 / 13.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.94 (7.36%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.90%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$166.02 / $127.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.06 / $144.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-108.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.27xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$192.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$123.05Range

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