US stock / ETF

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.

JKHY · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish62%
Monthly Downside probability 62%Bearish

JKHY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $162.34 and stabilize above resistance $196.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $196 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 52.6, MACD -1.141

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.03 (11.81%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$157.15Bullish
EMA 21$162.34Bullish
EMA 50$165.12Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.6 · MACD -1.141

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $20.03 · BB 34.48%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.8 · OBV -27.16%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$121.04 - $196

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.35% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$216.03
Nearest resistance

+15.54% · 1.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$196
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$169.64
Nearest support

-28.65% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.04
Deeper support zone

-40.46% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$101.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$149.61 - $189.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.04, invalidation $193.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 24.2 / 31.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$157.87 / $166.83Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

65%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.03 (11.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.48%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$206.45 / $117.68Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$149.61 / $189.67Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$196Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.141Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.2 / 45.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-2.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.04, invalidation $193.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 24.2 / 31.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$157.87 / $166.83Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

65%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.141Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.2 / 45.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-2.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.03 (11.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.48%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$206.45 / $117.68Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$149.61 / $189.67Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$196Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.04Range

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