US stock / ETF

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.

JKHY · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

JKHY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $161.09 and stabilize above resistance $196.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $196 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.8, MACD -2.015

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $18.81 (12.06%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$154.11Bullish
EMA 21$161.09Bearish
EMA 50$164.58Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.8 · MACD -2.015

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.81 · BB 34.87%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 27.9 · OBV -36.91%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$121.04 - $196

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+37.74% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$214.81
Nearest resistance

+25.68% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$196
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$155.95
Nearest support

-22.39% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.04
Deeper support zone

-34.45% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$102.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$137.14 - $174.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.04, invalidation $193.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 21.2 / 33.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$93.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$157.87 / $166.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.81 (12.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.87%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$201.72 / $119.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$137.14 / $174.76Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$196Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.015Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.3 / 39.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.91%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.04, invalidation $193.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 21.2 / 33.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$93.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$157.87 / $166.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.015Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.3 / 39.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.81 (12.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.87%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$201.72 / $119.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$137.14 / $174.76Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.91%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$196Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.04Range

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