US stock / ETF

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.

JKHY · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

JKHY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $161.39 and stabilize above resistance $196.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $196 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.7, MACD -3.005

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $18.24 (12.03%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$153.06Bearish
EMA 21$161.39Bearish
EMA 50$164.84Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.7 · MACD -3.005

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.24 · BB 35.04%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 28.2 · OBV -50.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$121.04 - $196

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+41.26% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$214.24
Nearest resistance

+29.23% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$196
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$151.67
Nearest support

-20.2% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.04
Deeper support zone

-32.22% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$102.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$133.43 - $169.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $144.12, invalidation $193.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.5 / 19.0 / 34.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$86.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$157.87 / $166.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.24 (12.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.04%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$202.07 / $120.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$133.43 / $169.91Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$196Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.005Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.3 / 24.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-94.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-50.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $144.12, invalidation $193.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.5 / 19.0 / 34.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$86.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$157.87 / $166.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.005Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.3 / 24.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-94.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.24 (12.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.04%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$202.07 / $120.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$133.43 / $169.91Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-50.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$196Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.04Range

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