US stock / ETF

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.

JKHY · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

JKHY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $162.09 and stabilize above resistance $195.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $195.86 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.7, MACD -3.930

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.97 (13.31%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$152.84Bearish
EMA 21$162.09Bearish
EMA 50$166.41Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.7 · MACD -3.930

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.97 · BB 35.05%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 26.5 · OBV -656.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$123.05 - $195.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+58.39% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$213.83
Nearest resistance

+45.08% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$195.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$135
Nearest support

-8.86% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$123.05
Deeper support zone

-22.16% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$105.08
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$117.03 - $152.97

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $144.16, invalidation $192.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 13.5 / 34.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$158.71 / $167.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.97 (13.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.05%

-4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$201.21 / $122.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$117.03 / $152.97Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$195.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$123.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.930Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.1 / 14.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-197.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-656.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.24xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $144.16, invalidation $192.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 13.5 / 34.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$158.71 / $167.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.930Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.1 / 14.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-197.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.97 (13.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.05%

-4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$201.21 / $122.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$117.03 / $152.97Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-656.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.24xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$195.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$123.05Range

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