US stock / ETF

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.

JKHY · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish82%
Monthly Downside probability 82%Bearish

JKHY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $160.35 and stabilize above resistance $196.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $196 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.7, MACD -0.923

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $21.57 (13.63%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$154.92Bullish
EMA 21$160.35Bearish
EMA 50$164Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.7 · MACD -0.923

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $21.57 · BB 36.11%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.1 · OBV -33.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$121.04 - $196

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+37.49% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$217.57
Nearest resistance

+23.85% · 1.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$196
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$158.25
Nearest support

-23.51% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.04
Deeper support zone

-37.15% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$99.47
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$136.68 - $179.82

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.04, invalidation $174.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.8 / 22.4 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$155.47 / $166.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.57 (13.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.11%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$204.93 / $115.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$136.68 / $179.82Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$196Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.923Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.4 / 49.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.04, invalidation $174.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.8 / 22.4 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$155.47 / $166.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.923Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.4 / 49.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.57 (13.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.11%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$204.93 / $115.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$136.68 / $179.82Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$196Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.04Range

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