US stock / ETF

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.

JKHY · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

JKHY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $161.86 and stabilize above resistance $196.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $196 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.6, MACD -0.771

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.43 (12.96%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$157.14Bullish
EMA 21$161.86Bearish
EMA 50$164.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.6 · MACD -0.771

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $20.43 · BB 34.49%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.2 · OBV -26.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$121.04 - $196

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+37.37% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$216.43
Nearest resistance

+24.41% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$196
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$157.55
Nearest support

-23.17% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.04
Deeper support zone

-36.14% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$100.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$137.12 - $177.97

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.04, invalidation $193.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 23.7 / 28.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$157.87 / $166.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.43 (12.96%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.49%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$204.13 / $119.04Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$137.12 / $177.97Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$196Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.771Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.5 / 54.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.04, invalidation $193.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 23.7 / 28.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$157.87 / $166.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.771Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.5 / 54.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.43 (12.96%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.49%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$204.13 / $119.04Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$137.12 / $177.97Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$196Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.04Range

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