US stock / ETF

Aflac Inc.

AFL · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

AFL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $119.75 and stabilize above resistance $130.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $130.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.5, MACD -0.565

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.87 (1.6%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$117.42Bearish
EMA 21$119.75Bearish
EMA 50$120.33Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.5 · MACD -0.565

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.87 · BB 12.95%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.1 · OBV -4.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$115.82 - $130.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.3% · 8.3 ATR above latest close

$132.09
Nearest resistance

+11.7% · 7.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$130.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$116.58
Nearest support

-0.65% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$115.82
Deeper support zone

-2.26% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$113.95
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$114.71 - $118.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $115.82, invalidation $118.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

55.0 / 10.3 / 38.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$111.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.16 / $122.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.87 (1.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.95%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$123.24 / $116.02Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.71 / $118.45Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$130.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.565Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.9 / 11.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $115.82, invalidation $118.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

55.0 / 10.3 / 38.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$111.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.16 / $122.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.565Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.9 / 11.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.87 (1.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.95%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$123.24 / $116.02Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.71 / $118.45Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$130.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.82Range

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