US stock / ETF

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.

JKHY · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish79%
3M Downside probability 79%Bearish

JKHY 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $165.77 and stabilize above resistance $212.41.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $212.41 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $29.94 (22.18%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$161.24Bearish
EMA 21$165.77Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.1 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $29.94 · BB 34.08%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.6 · OBV -381.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$123.05 - $212.41

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+79.52% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$242.35
Nearest resistance

+57.34% · 2.6 ATR above · 24-bar high

$212.41
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$135
Nearest support

-8.86% · 0.4 ATR below · 24-bar low

$123.05
Deeper support zone

-31.03% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$93.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$105.06 - $164.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $144.16, invalidation $192.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$54.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$29.94 (22.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.08%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.02 / $106.77Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.06 / $164.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$212.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$123.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.4 / 36.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-203.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-381.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.19xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $144.16, invalidation $192.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$54.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.4 / 36.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-203.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$29.94 (22.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.08%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.02 / $106.77Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.06 / $164.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-381.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.19xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$212.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$123.05Range

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