US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

DECK 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $83.61 and stabilize above resistance $88.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $88.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.8, MACD -0.786

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.64 (3.25%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$81.85Bearish
EMA 21$83.61Bearish
EMA 50$83.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.8 · MACD -0.786

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.64 · BB 14.33%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 40.1 · OBV -18.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$75.32 - $88.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.02% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$90.84
Nearest resistance

+8.77% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$88.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$81.09
Nearest support

-7.12% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$75.32
Deeper support zone

-10.37% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$72.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$78.45 - $83.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $75.32, invalidation $87.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.9 / 18.0 / 34.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$71.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$81.68 / $81.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.64 (3.25%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.33%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$89.82 / $77.28Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.45 / $83.73Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$88.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.32Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.786Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.6 / 43.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.4Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $75.32, invalidation $87.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.9 / 18.0 / 34.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$71.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$81.68 / $81.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.786Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.6 / 43.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.4Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.64 (3.25%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.33%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$89.82 / $77.28Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.45 / $83.73Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$88.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.32Range

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