US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

DECK 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $99.68 and stabilize above resistance $104.81.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $104.81 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.6, MACD -0.119

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.61 (1.63%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$98.89Bullish
EMA 21$99.68Bearish
EMA 50$101.06Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.6 · MACD -0.119

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.61 · BB 9.47%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 38.6 · OBV -72.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$88 - $104.81

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.49% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$106.41
Nearest resistance

+5.86% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$104.81
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$99
Nearest support

-11.11% · 6.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88
Deeper support zone

-12.74% · 7.8 ATR below latest close

$86.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$97.39 - $100.61

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.15, invalidation $96.61

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.7 / 23.2 / 35.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.12 / $98.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.61 (1.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.47%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.35 / $96.91Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.39 / $100.61Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.119Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.2 / 27.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-47.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-72.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.69xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.15, invalidation $96.61

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.7 / 23.2 / 35.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.12 / $98.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.119Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.2 / 27.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-47.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.61 (1.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.47%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.35 / $96.91Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.39 / $100.61Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-72.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.69xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88Range

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