US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish72%
4h Downside probability 72%Bearish

DECK 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $108.19 and stabilize above resistance $116.43.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $116.43 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.2, MACD -0.708

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.73 (2.57%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$106.44Bearish
EMA 21$108.19Bearish
EMA 50$107.83Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.2 · MACD -0.708

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.73 · BB 13.28%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 33.0 · OBV -8.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$103.25 - $116.43

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.05% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$119.16
Nearest resistance

+9.48% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$116.43
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.35
Nearest support

-2.91% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$103.25
Deeper support zone

-5.48% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$100.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$103.62 - $109.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $116.43, invalidation $103.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.7 / 11.2 / 38.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$108.39 / $104.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.73 (2.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.28%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113.88 / $102.38Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.62 / $109.07Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$103.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.708Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.2 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $116.43, invalidation $103.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.7 / 11.2 / 38.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$108.39 / $104.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.708Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.2 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.73 (2.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.28%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113.88 / $102.38Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.62 / $109.07Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$103.25Range

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