US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish58%
3M Downside probability 58%Bearish

DECK 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $90.33 and stabilize above resistance $223.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $223.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $40.48 (49.81%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$103.78Bearish
EMA 21$90.33Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.1 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $40.48 · BB 164.09%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 47.2 · OBV -22.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$13.12 - $223.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+225.41% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$264.46
Nearest resistance

+175.6% · 3.5 ATR above · 29-bar high

$223.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$81.27
Nearest support

-83.86% · 1.7 ATR below · 29-bar low

$13.12
Deeper support zone

-133.66% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

-$27.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$40.79 - $121.75

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.91, invalidation $122.29

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.5 / 31.0 / 15.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$39.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.65 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$40.48 (49.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 164.09%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$182.16 / $3.54Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$40.79 / $121.75Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.9 / 19.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.91, invalidation $122.29

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.5 / 31.0 / 15.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$39.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.65 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.9 / 19.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$40.48 (49.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 164.09%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$182.16 / $3.54Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$40.79 / $121.75Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.12Range

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