US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish81%
Monthly Downside probability 81%Bearish

DECK 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $106.94 and stabilize above resistance $223.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $223.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.3, MACD -3.295

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $18.53 (22.8%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$96.15Bearish
EMA 21$106.94Bearish
EMA 50$102.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.3 · MACD -3.295

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.53 · BB 52.58%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.2 · OBV -29.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$78.91 - $223.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+198.4% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

$242.51
Nearest resistance

+175.6% · 7.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$223.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$81.27
Nearest support

-2.9% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$78.91
Deeper support zone

-25.7% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$60.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$62.74 - $99.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.91, invalidation $116.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 14.7 / 24.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$126.13 / $131.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.53 (22.8%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.58%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$142.04 / $70.93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$62.74 / $99.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.295Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.1 / 20.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-161.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.91, invalidation $116.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 14.7 / 24.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$126.13 / $131.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.295Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.1 / 20.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-161.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.53 (22.8%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.58%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$142.04 / $70.93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$62.74 / $99.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.91Range

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