US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish67%
Monthly Downside probability 67%Bearish

DECK 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $112.6 and stabilize above resistance $223.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $223.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.9, MACD -1.692

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $19.64 (18.43%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$106.29Bullish
EMA 21$112.6Bearish
EMA 50$104.38Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.9 · MACD -1.692

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $19.64 · BB 96.37%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.9 · OBV -27.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$78.91 - $223.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+128.54% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$243.62
Nearest resistance

+110.11% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$223.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.6
Nearest support

-25.98% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$78.91
Deeper support zone

-44.4% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$59.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$86.96 - $126.24

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.29, invalidation $92.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 19.0 / 16.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$50.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$126.02 / $129.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.64 (18.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 96.37%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$148.64 / $76.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.96 / $126.24Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.692Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.2 / 53.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.29, invalidation $92.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 19.0 / 16.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$50.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$126.02 / $129.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.692Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.2 / 53.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.64 (18.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 96.37%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$148.64 / $76.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.96 / $126.24Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.91Range

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