US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish85%
Monthly Downside probability 85%Bearish

DECK 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $104.33 and stabilize above resistance $223.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $223.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.7, MACD -3.525

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.91 (22.09%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$92.26Bearish
EMA 21$104.33Bearish
EMA 50$101.53Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.7 · MACD -3.525

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.91 · BB 48.81%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.6 · OBV -21.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$76.8 - $223.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+198.3% · 9.0 ATR above latest close

$241.89
Nearest resistance

+176.21% · 8.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$223.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$81.09
Nearest support

-5.29% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$76.8
Deeper support zone

-27.38% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$58.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$63.18 - $99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.91, invalidation $116.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.9 / 15.7 / 26.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$30.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$124.97 / $131.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.91 (22.09%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.81%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$138.35 / $69.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$63.18 / $99Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.525Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.8 / 9.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-151.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.91, invalidation $116.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.9 / 15.7 / 26.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$30.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$124.97 / $131.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.525Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.8 / 9.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-151.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.91 (22.09%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.81%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$138.35 / $69.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$63.18 / $99Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.8Range

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