US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish85%
Monthly Downside probability 85%Bearish

DECK 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $104.15 and stabilize above resistance $223.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $223.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.9, MACD -3.651

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.25 (21.81%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$91.82Bearish
EMA 21$104.15Bearish
EMA 50$101.45Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.9 · MACD -3.651

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.25 · BB 49.52%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.6 · OBV -27.69%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$77.2 - $223.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+204.9% · 9.4 ATR above latest close

$241.23
Nearest resistance

+183.09% · 8.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$223.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$79.12
Nearest support

-2.43% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$77.2
Deeper support zone

-24.23% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$59.95
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$61.87 - $96.37

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.91, invalidation $116.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.0 / 15.8 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.17 / $131.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.25 (21.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.52%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.32 / $70.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$61.87 / $96.37Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$77.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.651Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 7.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-168.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.91, invalidation $116.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.0 / 15.8 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.17 / $131.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.651Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 7.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-168.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.25 (21.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.52%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.32 / $70.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$61.87 / $96.37Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$77.2Range

Related Forecasts