US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish81%
Monthly Downside probability 81%Bearish

DECK 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $113.62 and stabilize above resistance $223.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $223.89 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD -1.939

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $21.04 (20.3%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$107.17Bearish
EMA 21$113.62Bearish
EMA 50$101.35Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD -1.939

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $21.04 · BB 108.75%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 63.0 · OBV -19.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$78.99 - $223.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+136.29% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$244.93
Nearest resistance

+115.98% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$223.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$103.66
Nearest support

-23.8% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$78.99
Deeper support zone

-44.1% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$57.95
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$82.62 - $124.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.99, invalidation $122.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.4 / 22.6 / 15.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$52.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.99 / $129.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.04 (20.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 108.75%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$151.25 / $75.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$82.62 / $124.7Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.939Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.3 / 48.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-37.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.99, invalidation $122.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.4 / 22.6 / 15.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$52.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.99 / $129.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.939Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.3 / 48.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-37.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.04 (20.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 108.75%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$151.25 / $75.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$82.62 / $124.7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.99Range

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