US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish91%
Monthly Downside probability 91%Bearish

DECK 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $109.9 and stabilize above resistance $223.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $223.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.2, MACD -2.512

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.08 (21.91%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$101.36Bearish
EMA 21$109.9Bearish
EMA 50$103.52Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.2 · MACD -2.512

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $20.08 · BB 72.72%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.7 · OBV -31.69%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$78.91 - $223.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+166.21% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$244.06
Nearest resistance

+144.31% · 6.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$223.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$91.68
Nearest support

-13.93% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$78.91
Deeper support zone

-35.84% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$58.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$71.6 - $111.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.91, invalidation $116.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 18.6 / 19.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$128.17 / $129.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.08 (21.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 72.72%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.14 / $73.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$71.6 / $111.76Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.512Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.8 / 34.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-87.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.91, invalidation $116.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 18.6 / 19.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$128.17 / $129.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.512Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.8 / 34.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-87.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.08 (21.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 72.72%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.14 / $73.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$71.6 / $111.76Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.91Range

Related Forecasts