US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish73%
Monthly Downside probability 73%Bearish

DECK 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $110.69 and stabilize above resistance $223.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $223.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.0, MACD -1.958

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $19.42 (19.35%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$103.29Bearish
EMA 21$110.69Bearish
EMA 50$103.86Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.0 · MACD -1.958

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $19.42 · BB 71.34%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 55.3 · OBV -28.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$78.91 - $223.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+142.53% · 7.4 ATR above latest close

$243.4
Nearest resistance

+123.18% · 6.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$223.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$100.36
Nearest support

-21.37% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$78.91
Deeper support zone

-40.73% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$59.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$80.94 - $119.78

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.91, invalidation $116.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.1 / 19.3 / 18.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$48.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$128.17 / $129.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.42 (19.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 71.34%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$144.12 / $76.64Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$80.94 / $119.78Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.958Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.1 / 40.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.91, invalidation $116.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.1 / 19.3 / 18.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$48.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$128.17 / $129.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.958Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.1 / 40.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.42 (19.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 71.34%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$144.12 / $76.64Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$80.94 / $119.78Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.91Range

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