US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish77%
Monthly Downside probability 77%Bearish

DECK 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $102.6 and stabilize above resistance $223.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $223.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.1, MACD -3.057

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16.74 (19.8%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$90.7Bearish
EMA 21$102.6Bearish
EMA 50$100.89Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.1 · MACD -3.057

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.74 · BB 50.28%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.2 · OBV -10.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$77.2 - $223.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+184.77% · 9.3 ATR above latest close

$240.72
Nearest resistance

+164.97% · 8.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$223.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$84.53
Nearest support

-8.67% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$77.2
Deeper support zone

-28.48% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$60.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$67.79 - $101.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $77.2, invalidation $116.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.1 / 16.5 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$39.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.72 / $136.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.74 (19.8%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.28%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.78 / $70.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$67.79 / $101.27Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$77.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.057Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.3 / 9.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $77.2, invalidation $116.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.1 / 16.5 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$39.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.72 / $136.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.057Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.3 / 9.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.74 (19.8%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.28%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.78 / $70.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$67.79 / $101.27Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$77.2Range

Related Forecasts