US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

DECK 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $90.43 and stabilize above resistance $116.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $116.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.4, MACD -0.868

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.54 (8.07%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$83.69Bearish
EMA 21$90.43Bearish
EMA 50$98.83Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.4 · MACD -0.868

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.54 · BB 47.92%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 25.0 · OBV -14.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$76.8 - $116.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+51.74% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

$123.04
Nearest resistance

+43.67% · 5.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$116.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$81.09
Nearest support

-5.29% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$76.8
Deeper support zone

-13.36% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$70.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$74.55 - $87.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $77.2, invalidation $110.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.9 / 10.4 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$65.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.68 / $99.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.54 (8.07%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.92%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.24 / $78.81Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$74.55 / $87.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.868Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.5 / 19.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.40xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $77.2, invalidation $110.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.9 / 10.4 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$65.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.68 / $99.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.868Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.5 / 19.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.54 (8.07%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.92%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.24 / $78.81Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$74.55 / $87.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.40xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.8Range

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