US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish79%
Weekly Downside probability 79%Bearish

DECK 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $103.95 and stabilize above resistance $122.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD -0.941

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.93 (8.9%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$102.07Bearish
EMA 21$103.95Bearish
EMA 50$107.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD -0.941

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.93 · BB 23.56%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.4 · OBV 3.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$91.8 - $122.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.75% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$131.22
Nearest resistance

+21.85% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$100.36
Nearest support

-8.53% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$91.8
Deeper support zone

-17.43% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$82.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$91.43 - $109.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $110.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.7 / 19.0 / 24.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.6 / $102.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.93 (8.9%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.56%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$120.49 / $87.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.43 / $109.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.941Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.7 / 24.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.46%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $110.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.7 / 19.0 / 24.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.6 / $102.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.941Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.7 / 24.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.93 (8.9%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.56%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$120.49 / $87.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.43 / $109.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.46%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.8Range

Related Forecasts