US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

DECK 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $97.5 and stabilize above resistance $122.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.2, MACD -2.364

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.5 (9.23%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$90.71Bearish
EMA 21$97.5Bearish
EMA 50$103.63Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.2 · MACD -2.364

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.5 · BB 35.70%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.0 · OBV -13.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$79.34 - $122.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+59.7% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$129.79
Nearest resistance

+50.47% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$81.27
Nearest support

-2.37% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$79.34
Deeper support zone

-11.6% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$71.84
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$73.77 - $88.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $110.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.8 / 7.0 / 38.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$61.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.42 / $100.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.5 (9.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.70%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.21 / $83.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.77 / $88.77Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$79.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.364Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 6.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-174.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.10xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $110.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.8 / 7.0 / 38.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$61.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.42 / $100.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.364Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 6.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-174.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.5 (9.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.70%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.21 / $83.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.77 / $88.77Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.10xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$79.34Range

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