US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish87%
Weekly Downside probability 87%Bearish

DECK 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $92.84 and stabilize above resistance $122.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.4, MACD -2.293

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.36 (8.04%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$84.4Bearish
EMA 21$92.84Bearish
EMA 50$100.82Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.4 · MACD -2.293

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.36 · BB 48.12%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.2 · OBV -9.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$77.2 - $122.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+62.61% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$128.65
Nearest resistance

+54.56% · 6.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$79.12
Nearest support

-2.43% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$77.2
Deeper support zone

-10.47% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$70.84
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$72.76 - $85.48

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $110.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.1 / 6.9 / 41.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$61.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$93.14 / $99.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.36 (8.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.12%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.51 / $81.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$72.76 / $85.48Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$77.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.293Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.8 / 4.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-125.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.38xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $110.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.1 / 6.9 / 41.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$61.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$93.14 / $99.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.293Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.8 / 4.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-125.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.36 (8.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.12%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.51 / $81.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$72.76 / $85.48Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.38xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$77.2Range

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