US stock / ETF

Deckers Outdoor Corp

DECK · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish87%
Weekly Downside probability 87%Bearish

DECK 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $101.72 and stabilize above resistance $122.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.0, MACD -1.622

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.64 (9.43%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$97.82Bearish
EMA 21$101.72Bearish
EMA 50$106.02Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.0 · MACD -1.622

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.64 · BB 26.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.1 · OBV -6.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$88.13 - $122.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+42.81% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$130.93
Nearest resistance

+33.39% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$91.68
Nearest support

-3.87% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.13
Deeper support zone

-13.3% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$79.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$83.04 - $100.32

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $110.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 19.6 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.22 / $102.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.64 (9.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.17%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$117.16 / $85.98Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.04 / $100.32Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.13Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.622Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.5 / 14.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-171.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $110.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 19.6 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.22 / $102.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.622Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.5 / 14.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-171.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.64 (9.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.17%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$117.16 / $85.98Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.04 / $100.32Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.13Range

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