US stock / ETF

ConocoPhillips

COP · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish59%
4h Downside probability 59%Bearish

COP 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $135.41 and stabilize above resistance $141.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $141.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.4, MACD -0.704

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.03 (1.52%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$133.86Bearish
EMA 21$135.41Bearish
EMA 50$135.12Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.4 · MACD -0.704

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.03 · BB 8.89%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.4 · OBV 44.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$130.55 - $141.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.67% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$143.75
Nearest resistance

+6.15% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$141.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$133.51
Nearest support

-2.22% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$130.55
Deeper support zone

-3.73% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$128.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$131.48 - $135.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $141.72, invalidation $130.55

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 19.0 / 42.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$127.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.14 / $136.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.03 (1.52%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.89%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$139.35 / $131.38Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$131.48 / $135.54Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$141.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.55Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.704Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.5 / 19.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

44.21%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.28xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $141.72, invalidation $130.55

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 19.0 / 42.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$127.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.14 / $136.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.704Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.5 / 19.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.03 (1.52%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.89%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$139.35 / $131.38Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$131.48 / $135.54Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

44.21%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.28xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$141.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.55Range

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