US stock / ETF

ConocoPhillips

COP · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish62%
4h Downside probability 62%Bearish

COP 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $148.04 and stabilize above resistance $152.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $152.47 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 52.2, MACD -0.431

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.17 (1.47%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$149.04Bearish
EMA 21$148.04Bearish
EMA 50$144.24Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.2 · MACD -0.431

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.17 · BB 6.38%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 63.6 · OBV -401.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$140.94 - $152.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.52% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$154.64
Nearest resistance

+3.05% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$152.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$147.96
Nearest support

-4.74% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$140.94
Deeper support zone

-6.21% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

$138.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$145.79 - $150.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $151.98, invalidation $148.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.5 / 24.8 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$142.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.69 / $142.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.17 (1.47%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.38%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$151.58 / $144.74Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$145.79 / $150.13Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$152.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$140.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.431Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.3 / 55.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-7.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-401.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.59xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $151.98, invalidation $148.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.5 / 24.8 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$142.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.69 / $142.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.431Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.3 / 55.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-7.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.17 (1.47%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.38%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$151.58 / $144.74Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$145.79 / $150.13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-401.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.59xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$152.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$140.94Range

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