US stock / ETF

ConocoPhillips

COP · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

COP 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $109.41 and stabilize above resistance $121.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $121.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.3, MACD -0.170

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.67 (1.59%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$106.71Bearish
EMA 21$109.41Bearish
EMA 50$113.18Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.3 · MACD -0.170

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.67 · BB 10.60%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 48.4 · OBV -203.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$104.64 - $121.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.45% · 11.0 ATR above latest close

$123.17
Nearest resistance

+15.86% · 10.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$121.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$104.87
Nearest support

-0.22% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$104.64
Deeper support zone

-1.81% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$102.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$103.2 - $106.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $105.04, invalidation $110.57

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.4 / 17.7 / 41.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.34 / $114.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.67 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.60%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$112.37 / $106.09Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.2 / $106.54Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$121.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.170Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.3 / 14.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-203.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $105.04, invalidation $110.57

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.4 / 17.7 / 41.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.34 / $114.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.170Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.3 / 14.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.67 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.60%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$112.37 / $106.09Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.2 / $106.54Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-203.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$121.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.64Range

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