US stock / ETF

ConocoPhillips

COP · NYSE · USD

1 weekRange49%
Weekly Range probability 98%Range

COP 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $90.75 - $135.87 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 54.2, MACD -0.430

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.5 (6.38%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$115.77Bullish
EMA 21$114.4Bullish
EMA 50$109.45Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.2 · MACD -0.430

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.5 · BB 24.74%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.4 · OBV -9.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$90.75 - $135.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.91% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$143.37
Nearest resistance

+15.53% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$135.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$117.61
Nearest support

-22.84% · 3.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$90.75
Deeper support zone

-29.22% · 4.6 ATR below latest close

$83.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$110.11 - $125.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.38, invalidation $102.69

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.3 / 19.9 / 23.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.91 / $110.72Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.5 (6.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.74%

50%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.67 / $100.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.11 / $125.11Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$90.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.430Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.0 / 67.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-5.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.38, invalidation $102.69

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.3 / 19.9 / 23.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.91 / $110.72Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.430Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.0 / 67.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-5.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.5 (6.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.74%

50%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.67 / $100.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.11 / $125.11Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$90.75Range

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