US stock / ETF

ConocoPhillips

COP · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish57%
Weekly Downside probability 57%Bearish

COP 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $112.76 and stabilize above resistance $135.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $135.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 52.7, MACD -1.970

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.09 (7.05%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$111.9Bullish
EMA 21$112.76Bullish
EMA 50$108.18Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.7 · MACD -1.970

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $8.09 · BB 25.65%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.1 · OBV -0.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$85.7 - $135.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.5% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$143.96
Nearest resistance

+18.45% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$135.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$114.71
Nearest support

-25.29% · 3.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$85.7
Deeper support zone

-32.34% · 4.6 ATR below latest close

$77.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$106.62 - $122.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $102.69, invalidation $121.52

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.2 / 15.7 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$114.88 / $110.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.09 (7.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.65%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$127.07 / $98.71Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$106.62 / $122.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$85.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.970Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.0 / 24.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $102.69, invalidation $121.52

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.2 / 15.7 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$114.88 / $110.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.970Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.0 / 24.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.09 (7.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.65%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$127.07 / $98.71Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$106.62 / $122.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$85.7Range

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