US stock / ETF

ConocoPhillips

COP · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish78%
Weekly Downside probability 78%Bearish

COP 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $113.72 and stabilize above resistance $135.84.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $135.84 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.2, MACD -2.527

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.15 (8.65%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$113.62Bearish
EMA 21$113.72Bearish
EMA 50$107.99Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.2 · MACD -2.527

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.15 · BB 23.89%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.9 · OBV -3.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$85.58 - $135.84

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+37.05% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$144.99
Nearest resistance

+28.4% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$135.84
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$105.8
Nearest support

-19.11% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$85.58
Deeper support zone

-27.76% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$76.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$96.65 - $114.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $112.67, invalidation $121.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.5 / 12.7 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.12 / $110.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.15 (8.65%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.89%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.18 / $97.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.65 / $114.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$85.58Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.527Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.7 / 8.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-150.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.10xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $112.67, invalidation $121.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.5 / 12.7 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.12 / $110.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.527Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.7 / 8.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-150.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.15 (8.65%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.89%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.18 / $97.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.65 / $114.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.10xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$85.58Range

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