US stock / ETF

ConocoPhillips

COP · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish86%
1h Downside probability 86%Bearish

COP 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $106.53 and stabilize above resistance $110.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $110.57 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.6, MACD -0.026

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6043 (0.58%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$105.7Bearish
EMA 21$106.53Bearish
EMA 50$108.36Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.6 · MACD -0.026

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6043 · BB 2.62%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 46.7 · OBV -3.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$104.64 - $110.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.01% · 10.4 ATR above latest close

$111.17
Nearest resistance

+5.44% · 9.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$110.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$104.87
Nearest support

-0.22% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$104.64
Deeper support zone

-0.8% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$104.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$104.27 - $105.47

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $106.79, invalidation $105.98

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 27.2 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.66 / $108.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6043 (0.58%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.62%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.42 / $105.51Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.27 / $105.47Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$110.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.026Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.6 / 11.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-177.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.21xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $106.79, invalidation $105.98

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 27.2 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.66 / $108.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.026Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.6 / 11.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-177.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6043 (0.58%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.62%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.42 / $105.51Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.27 / $105.47Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.21xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$110.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.64Range

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