US stock / ETF

ConocoPhillips

COP · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish80%
3M Upside probability 80%Bullish

COP 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $20.84 and reclaim $138.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $20.84 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 60.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $23.01 (17.65%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$111.34Bullish
EMA 21$95.86Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 60.2 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $23.01 · BB 55.65%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.6 · OBV 10.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$20.84 - $138.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.9% · 1.4 ATR above latest close

$161.5
Nearest resistance

+6.24% · 0.4 ATR above · 29-bar high

$138.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$130.35
Nearest support

-84.01% · 4.8 ATR below · 29-bar low

$20.84
Deeper support zone

-101.66% · 5.8 ATR below latest close

-$2.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$107.34 - $153.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.87, invalidation $85.57

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.3 / 19.7 / 11.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$47.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$95.45 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

89%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.01 (17.65%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 55.65%

92%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.03 / $48.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$107.34 / $153.36Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$138.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.84Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

90.1 / 74.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-9.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

106.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.87, invalidation $85.57

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.3 / 19.7 / 11.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$47.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$95.45 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

89%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

90.1 / 74.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-9.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

106.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.01 (17.65%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 55.65%

92%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.03 / $48.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$107.34 / $153.36Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$138.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.84Range

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