US stock / ETF

Ciena Corporation

CIEN · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish68%
4h Upside probability 68%Bullish

CIEN 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $417.47 and reclaim $637.03.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $417.47 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 48.2, MACD 7.744

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $20.28 (4.39%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$455.39Bullish
EMA 21$460.62Bullish
EMA 50$488.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.2 · MACD 7.744

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $20.28 · BB 11.18%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 71.3 · OBV 14.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$417.47 - $637.03

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+42.1% · 9.6 ATR above latest close

$657.31
Nearest resistance

+37.72% · 8.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$637.03
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$462.56
Nearest support

-9.75% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$417.47
Deeper support zone

-14.13% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$397.19
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$442.28 - $482.84

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $450.96, invalidation $431.63

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.1 / 30.5 / 12.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$412.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$461.91 / $527.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$20.28 (4.39%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.18%

84%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$498.22 / $420.79Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$442.28 / $482.84Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$637.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$417.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

7.744Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

68.2 / 72.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-31.8Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

148.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

14.19%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $450.96, invalidation $431.63

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.1 / 30.5 / 12.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$412.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$461.91 / $527.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

7.744Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

68.2 / 72.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-31.8Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

148.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$20.28 (4.39%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.18%

84%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$498.22 / $420.79Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$442.28 / $482.84Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

14.19%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$637.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$417.47Range

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