US stock / ETF

Ciena Corporation

CIEN · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish75%
1h Downside probability 75%Bearish

CIEN 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $452.69 and stabilize above resistance $466.66.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $466.66 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.6, MACD -0.645

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $6.46 (1.44%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$451.79Bearish
EMA 21$452.69Bearish
EMA 50$451.61Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.6 · MACD -0.645

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.46 · BB 5.81%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 21.8 · OBV -1.69%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$438.59 - $466.66

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.8% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$473.12
Nearest resistance

+4.35% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$466.66
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$447.2
Nearest support

-1.93% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$438.59
Deeper support zone

-3.37% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$432.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$440.74 - $453.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $466.66, invalidation $441.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.9 / 30.5 / 21.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$428.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$455.28 / $462.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.46 (1.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.81%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$465.96 / $439.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$440.74 / $453.66Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$466.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$438.59Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.645Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.1 / 29.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.77xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $466.66, invalidation $441.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.9 / 30.5 / 21.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$428.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$455.28 / $462.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.645Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.1 / 29.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.46 (1.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.81%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$465.96 / $439.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$440.74 / $453.66Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.77xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$466.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$438.59Range

Related Forecasts