US stock / ETF

Ciena Corporation

CIEN · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish71%
1h Downside probability 71%Bearish

CIEN 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $328.76 and stabilize above resistance $363.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $363.97 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.9, MACD 0.552

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $5.9 (1.82%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$324.38Bullish
EMA 21$328.76Bearish
EMA 50$336.75Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.9 · MACD 0.552

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $5.9 · BB 5.48%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 47.1 · OBV -380.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$315.22 - $363.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14% · 7.7 ATR above latest close

$369.87
Nearest resistance

+12.18% · 6.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$363.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$324.44
Nearest support

-2.84% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$315.22
Deeper support zone

-4.66% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$309.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$318.54 - $330.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $315.22, invalidation $339.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 25.6 / 19.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$303.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$330.32 / $339.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.9 (1.82%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.48%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$342.67 / $314.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$318.54 / $330.34Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$363.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$315.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.552Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.0 / 37.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-380.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $315.22, invalidation $339.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 25.6 / 19.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$303.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$330.32 / $339.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.552Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.0 / 37.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.9 (1.82%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.48%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$342.67 / $314.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$318.54 / $330.34Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-380.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$363.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$315.22Range

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