US stock / ETF

Ciena Corporation

CIEN · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish77%
1h Downside probability 77%Bearish

CIEN 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $396.09 and stabilize above resistance $405.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $405.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 48.6, MACD 0.879

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.49 (1.13%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$395.64Bullish
EMA 21$396.09Bearish
EMA 50$402.03Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.6 · MACD 0.879

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.49 · BB 3.48%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 29.0 · OBV -8.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$383.06 - $405.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.52% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$409.72
Nearest resistance

+2.39% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$405.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$395.79
Nearest support

-3.22% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$383.06
Deeper support zone

-4.35% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$378.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$391.3 - $400.28

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $383.06, invalidation $400.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 27.1 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$381.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$393.09 / $404.55Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

71%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.49 (1.13%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.48%

56%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$406.59 / $385.34Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$391.3 / $400.28Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$405.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$383.06Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.879Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

71.0 / 81.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-29.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

46.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.10xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $383.06, invalidation $400.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 27.1 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$381.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$393.09 / $404.55Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

71%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.879Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

71.0 / 81.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-29.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

46.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.49 (1.13%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.48%

56%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$406.59 / $385.34Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$391.3 / $400.28Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.10xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$405.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$383.06Range

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