US stock / ETF

Ciena Corporation

CIEN · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish80%
Weekly Downside probability 80%Bearish

CIEN 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $394.17 and stabilize above resistance $637.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $637.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.1, MACD -12.794

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $63.25 (16.16%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$374.28Bullish
EMA 21$394.17Bearish
EMA 50$350.01Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.1 · MACD -12.794

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $63.25 · BB 65.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 49.5 · OBV -17.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$266.61 - $637.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+79.07% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$700.76
Nearest resistance

+62.9% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$637.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$391.34
Nearest support

-31.87% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$266.61
Deeper support zone

-48.03% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$203.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$328.09 - $454.59

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $311.6, invalidation $462.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.9 / 11.6 / 22.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$194.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$430.85 / $392.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$63.25 (16.16%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.50%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$509.6 / $278.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$328.09 / $454.59Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$637.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$266.61Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.794Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.3 / 29.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-59.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $311.6, invalidation $462.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.9 / 11.6 / 22.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$194.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$430.85 / $392.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.794Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.3 / 29.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-59.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$63.25 (16.16%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.50%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$509.6 / $278.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$328.09 / $454.59Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$637.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$266.61Range

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