US stock / ETF

Ciena Corporation

CIEN · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish79%
Weekly Downside probability 79%Bearish

CIEN 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $361.36 and stabilize above resistance $637.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $637.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.5, MACD -14.739

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $62.71 (21.33%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$322.36Bearish
EMA 21$361.36Bearish
EMA 50$344.33Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.5 · MACD -14.739

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $62.71 · BB 57.33%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 58.3 · OBV -3.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$225.57 - $637.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+138.18% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$700.22
Nearest resistance

+116.85% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$637.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$293.99
Nearest support

-23.27% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$225.57
Deeper support zone

-44.6% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$162.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$231.28 - $356.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $311.6, invalidation $454.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.5 / 15.9 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$385.84 / $402.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$62.71 (21.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.33%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$484.95 / $234.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$231.28 / $356.7Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$637.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.57Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.739Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.9 / 14.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-153.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $311.6, invalidation $454.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.5 / 15.9 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$385.84 / $402.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.739Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.9 / 14.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-153.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$62.71 (21.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.33%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$484.95 / $234.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$231.28 / $356.7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$637.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.57Range

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