US stock / ETF

Ciena Corporation

CIEN · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

CIEN 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $417.95 and stabilize above resistance $637.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $637.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.9, MACD -27.414

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $75.4 (21.24%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$407.48Bearish
EMA 21$417.95Bearish
EMA 50$340.18Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD -27.414

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $75.4 · BB 58.59%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.7 · OBV 11.16%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$201.7 - $637.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+100.81% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$712.91
Nearest resistance

+79.58% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$637.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$355.01
Nearest support

-43.18% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$201.7
Deeper support zone

-64.42% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$126.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$279.61 - $430.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $494.53, invalidation $417.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.6 / 6.6 / 27.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$142.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$430.49 / $360.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$75.4 (21.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 58.59%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$573.54 / $265.97Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$279.61 / $430.41Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$637.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-27.414Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.1 / 12.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.16%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.05xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $494.53, invalidation $417.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.6 / 6.6 / 27.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$142.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$430.49 / $360.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-27.414Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.1 / 12.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$75.4 (21.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 58.59%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$573.54 / $265.97Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$279.61 / $430.41Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.16%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.05xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$637.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.7Range

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