US stock / ETF

Ciena Corporation

CIEN · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish79%
Weekly Downside probability 79%Bearish

CIEN 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $421.14 and stabilize above resistance $637.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $637.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.4, MACD -19.481

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $79.03 (19.97%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$416.28Bearish
EMA 21$421.14Bearish
EMA 50$347.77Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.4 · MACD -19.481

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $79.03 · BB 55.90%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.6 · OBV 4.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$216.07 - $637.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+81.04% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$716.54
Nearest resistance

+61.07% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$637.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$395.79
Nearest support

-45.41% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$216.07
Deeper support zone

-65.38% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$137.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$316.76 - $474.82

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $323.29, invalidation $494.53

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.5 / 7.5 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$196.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$433.43 / $363.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$79.03 (19.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 55.90%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$565.67 / $279.77Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$316.76 / $474.82Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$637.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$216.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-19.481Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.1 / 28.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-81.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.42%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $323.29, invalidation $494.53

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.5 / 7.5 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$196.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$433.43 / $363.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-19.481Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.1 / 28.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-81.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$79.03 (19.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 55.90%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$565.67 / $279.77Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$316.76 / $474.82Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.42%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$637.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$216.07Range

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