US stock / ETF

Ciena Corporation

CIEN · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CIEN 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $484.03 and stabilize above resistance $637.03.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $637.03 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.0, MACD -3.286

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $38.73 (8.37%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$456.78Bullish
EMA 21$484.03Bearish
EMA 50$488.36Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.0 · MACD -3.286

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $38.73 · BB 54.28%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.8 · OBV -42.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$417.47 - $637.03

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+46.09% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$675.76
Nearest resistance

+37.72% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$637.03
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$462.56
Nearest support

-9.75% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$417.47
Deeper support zone

-18.12% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$378.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$423.83 - $501.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $478.51, invalidation $424.92

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.7 / 11.0 / 39.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$382.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$489.88 / $527.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.73 (8.37%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.28%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$538 / $426.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$423.83 / $501.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$637.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$417.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.286Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.4 / 22.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-42.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $478.51, invalidation $424.92

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.7 / 11.0 / 39.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$382.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$489.88 / $527.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.286Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.4 / 22.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.73 (8.37%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.28%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$538 / $426.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$423.83 / $501.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-42.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$637.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$417.47Range

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