US stock / ETF

Ciena Corporation

CIEN · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish88%
12h Downside probability 88%Bearish

CIEN 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $409.47 and stabilize above resistance $462.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $462.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.0, MACD -4.654

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.39 (5.15%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$403.8Bearish
EMA 21$409.47Bearish
EMA 50$412.01Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.0 · MACD -4.654

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $20.39 · BB 20.37%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.0 · OBV -6.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$326 - $462.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.03% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$482.99
Nearest resistance

+16.88% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$462.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$395.79
Nearest support

-17.63% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$326
Deeper support zone

-22.78% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$305.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$375.4 - $416.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $391.77, invalidation $458

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.6 / 18.5 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$331.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$421.67 / $392.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.39 (5.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.37%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$450.04 / $368.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$375.4 / $416.18Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$462.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$326Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

45.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.654Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.0 / 9.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-80.3Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $391.77, invalidation $458

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.6 / 18.5 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$331.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$421.67 / $392.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

45.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.654Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.0 / 9.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-80.3Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.39 (5.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.37%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$450.04 / $368.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$375.4 / $416.18Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$462.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$326Range

Related Forecasts