US stock / ETF

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

CCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish67%
4h Downside probability 67%Bearish

CCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $26.73 and stabilize above resistance $29.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $29.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.0, MACD 0.061

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.3854 (1.46%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$26.55Bearish
EMA 21$26.73Bearish
EMA 50$27.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.0 · MACD 0.061

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3854 · BB 7.16%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 43.9 · OBV 1.16%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$25.27 - $29.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.86% · 8.1 ATR above latest close

$29.49
Nearest resistance

+10.39% · 7.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$29.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$26.36
Nearest support

-4.14% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$25.27
Deeper support zone

-5.6% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$24.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$25.97 - $26.75

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.19, invalidation $26.92

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.8 / 25.7 / 21.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$25.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.6 / $27.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3854 (1.46%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.16%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.57 / $25.85Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.97 / $26.75Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.27Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.061Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 42.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-3.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.16%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.19, invalidation $26.92

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.8 / 25.7 / 21.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$25.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.6 / $27.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.061Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 42.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-3.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3854 (1.46%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.16%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.57 / $25.85Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.97 / $26.75Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.16%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.27Range

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