US stock / ETF

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

CCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish58%
4h Downside probability 58%Bearish

CCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $29.24 and stabilize above resistance $31.59.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $31.59 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.5, MACD -0.210

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1.07 (3.67%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$29.52Bearish
EMA 21$29.24Bearish
EMA 50$28.29Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.5 · MACD -0.210

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.07 · BB 20.95%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.7 · OBV 36.28%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$25.75 - $31.59

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.3% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$32.65
Nearest resistance

+8.63% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$31.59
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$29.08
Nearest support

-11.44% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$25.75
Deeper support zone

-15.11% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$24.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$28.01 - $30.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $31.59, invalidation $27

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 28.9 / 34.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$25.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$28.91 / $27.52Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.07 (3.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.95%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$31.5 / $27.05Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.01 / $30.14Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$31.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.210Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.3 / 47.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-7.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

36.28%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $31.59, invalidation $27

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 28.9 / 34.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$25.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$28.91 / $27.52Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.210Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.3 / 47.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-7.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.07 (3.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.95%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$31.5 / $27.05Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.01 / $30.14Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

36.28%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$31.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.75Range

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