US stock / ETF

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

CCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $23.04 and stabilize above resistance $24.05.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $24.05 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.5, MACD 0.056

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.2843 (1.25%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$22.78Bullish
EMA 21$23.04Bearish
EMA 50$23.87Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.5 · MACD 0.056

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.2843 · BB 6.46%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 25.5 · OBV -3.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$22.27 - $24.05

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.73% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$24.33
Nearest resistance

+5.48% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$24.05
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$22.8
Nearest support

-2.32% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$22.27
Deeper support zone

-3.57% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$21.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$22.52 - $23.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.27, invalidation $23.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.3 / 21.7 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.94 / $24.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2843 (1.25%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.46%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.55 / $22.48Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$22.52 / $23.08Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$24.05Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$22.27Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.056Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.6 / 44.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.00xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.27, invalidation $23.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.3 / 21.7 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.94 / $24.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.056Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.6 / 44.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2843 (1.25%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.46%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.55 / $22.48Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$22.52 / $23.08Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.00xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$24.05Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$22.27Range

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