US stock / ETF

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

CCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish79%
4h Downside probability 79%Bearish

CCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $30.25 and stabilize above resistance $31.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $31.57 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.6, MACD -0.208

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.3454 (1.18%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$30.06Bearish
EMA 21$30.25Bearish
EMA 50$29.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.6 · MACD -0.208

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3454 · BB 6.55%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 34.7 · OBV 5.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$28.97 - $31.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.78% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

$31.92
Nearest resistance

+7.6% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$31.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$29.34
Nearest support

-1.26% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.97
Deeper support zone

-2.44% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$28.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$28.99 - $29.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $31.1, invalidation $30.47

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.2 / 10.1 / 40.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$28.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$30.2 / $29.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3454 (1.18%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.55%

-8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$31 / $29.52Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.99 / $29.69Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$31.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.97Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.208Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 1.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-207.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.74xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $31.1, invalidation $30.47

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.2 / 10.1 / 40.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$28.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$30.2 / $29.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.208Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 1.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-207.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3454 (1.18%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.55%

-8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$31 / $29.52Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.99 / $29.69Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.74xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$31.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.97Range

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