US stock / ETF

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

CCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $26.61 and stabilize above resistance $28.74.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $28.74 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.3, MACD -0.095

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.3231 (1.25%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$25.91Bearish
EMA 21$26.61Bearish
EMA 50$27.29Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.3 · MACD -0.095

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3231 · BB 13.56%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 23.1 · OBV -489.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$25.19 - $28.74

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.87% · 10.3 ATR above latest close

$29.06
Nearest resistance

+11.61% · 9.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$28.74
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$25.75
Nearest support

-2.17% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$25.19
Deeper support zone

-3.43% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$24.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$25.43 - $26.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.19, invalidation $27.63

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

63.0 / 14.2 / 48.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.49 / $27.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3231 (1.25%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.56%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.27 / $25.86Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.43 / $26.07Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$28.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.095Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.9 / 19.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-489.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.38xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.19, invalidation $27.63

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

63.0 / 14.2 / 48.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.49 / $27.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.095Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.9 / 19.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3231 (1.25%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.56%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.27 / $25.86Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.43 / $26.07Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-489.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.38xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$28.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.19Range

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