US stock / ETF

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

CCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish56%
4h Downside probability 56%Bearish

CCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $26.71 and stabilize above resistance $27.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $27.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.0, MACD -0.123

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5228 (2.01%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$26.65Bearish
EMA 21$26.71Bearish
EMA 50$26.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.0 · MACD -0.123

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5228 · BB 7.30%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 59.4 · OBV 1.22%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$25.77 - $27.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.69% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$28.3
Nearest resistance

+6.68% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$27.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$26.04
Nearest support

-1.04% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$25.77
Deeper support zone

-3.05% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$25.24
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$25.51 - $26.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $27.65, invalidation $26.76

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.8 / 31.0 / 23.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.76 / $26.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5228 (2.01%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.30%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.68 / $25.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.51 / $26.56Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$27.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.123Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.1 / 22.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $27.65, invalidation $26.76

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.8 / 31.0 / 23.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.76 / $26.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.123Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.1 / 22.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5228 (2.01%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.30%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.68 / $25.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.51 / $26.56Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$27.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.77Range

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