US stock / ETF

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

CCL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish88%
Weekly Downside probability 88%Bearish

CCL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $27.59 and stabilize above resistance $34.03.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $34.03 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD -0.053

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.42 (9.4%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$27.38Bearish
EMA 21$27.59Bearish
EMA 50$27.36Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD -0.053

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.42 · BB 20.97%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 49.7 · OBV -15.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$23.45 - $34.03

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+41.66% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$36.45
Nearest resistance

+32.26% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$34.03
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$25.73
Nearest support

-8.86% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$23.45
Deeper support zone

-18.26% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$21.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$23.31 - $28.15

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.1, invalidation $30.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 22.2 / 33.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$28.13 / $28.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.42 (9.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.97%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$32.33 / $22.83Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$23.31 / $28.15Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$23.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.053Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.0 / 51.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.1, invalidation $30.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 22.2 / 33.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$28.13 / $28.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.053Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.0 / 51.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.42 (9.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.97%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$32.33 / $22.83Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$23.31 / $28.15Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$23.45Range

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