US stock / ETF

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

CCL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish90%
Weekly Downside probability 90%Bearish

CCL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $26.6 and stabilize above resistance $34.03.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $34.03 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.4, MACD -0.498

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.29 (10.05%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$25.33Bearish
EMA 21$26.6Bearish
EMA 50$26.94Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.4 · MACD -0.498

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.29 · BB 29.11%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.2 · OBV -20.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$22.28 - $34.03

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+59.63% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$36.32
Nearest resistance

+49.58% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$34.03
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$22.75
Nearest support

-2.07% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$22.28
Deeper support zone

-12.11% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$19.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$20.46 - $25.04

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.1, invalidation $30.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 17.5 / 41.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.59 / $28.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.29 (10.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.11%

-3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$30.52 / $22.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.46 / $25.04Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$22.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.498Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.0 / 3.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.1, invalidation $30.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 17.5 / 41.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.59 / $28.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.498Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.0 / 3.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.29 (10.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.11%

-3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$30.52 / $22.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.46 / $25.04Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$22.28Range

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