US stock / ETF

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

CCL · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

CCL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $25.7 and stabilize above resistance $34.03.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $34.03 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.0, MACD -0.908

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.97 (21.86%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$26.2Bearish
EMA 21$25.7Bearish
EMA 50$23.79Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.0 · MACD -0.908

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.97 · BB 54.77%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.7 · OBV -3.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$13.78 - $34.03

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+71.44% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$39
Nearest resistance

+49.58% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$34.03
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$22.75
Nearest support

-39.43% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$13.78
Deeper support zone

-61.29% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$8.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$17.78 - $27.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.45, invalidation $31.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.7 / 15.2 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$7.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.03 / $20.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.97 (21.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.77%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.51 / $15.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.78 / $27.72Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.908Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 20.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.45, invalidation $31.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.7 / 15.2 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$7.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.03 / $20.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.908Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 20.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.97 (21.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.77%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.51 / $15.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.78 / $27.72Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.78Range

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