US stock / ETF

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

CCL · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish56%
Monthly Downside probability 56%Bearish

CCL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $25.85 and stabilize above resistance $34.03.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $34.03 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.0, MACD -0.785

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.88 (18.94%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$26.41Bearish
EMA 21$25.85Bearish
EMA 50$23.93Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.0 · MACD -0.785

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.88 · BB 52.48%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.9 · OBV 104.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$13.78 - $34.03

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+51.04% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$38.91
Nearest resistance

+32.1% · 1.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$34.03
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$25.76
Nearest support

-46.51% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$13.78
Deeper support zone

-65.44% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$8.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$20.88 - $30.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.45, invalidation $31.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 13.5 / 23.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.15 / $20.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.88 (18.94%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.48%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$35.81 / $16.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.88 / $30.64Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.785Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.3 / 22.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-35.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

104.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.45, invalidation $31.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 13.5 / 23.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.15 / $20.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.785Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.3 / 22.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-35.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.88 (18.94%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.48%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$35.81 / $16.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.88 / $30.64Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

104.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.78Range

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