US stock / ETF

Apple

AAPL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

AAPL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $318.51 and stabilize above resistance $344.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $344.57 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.1, MACD -2.728

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.09 (2.33%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$309.08Bearish
EMA 21$318.51Bearish
EMA 50$322.23Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.1 · MACD -2.728

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.09 · BB 19.68%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 17.1 · OBV -8.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$300.55 - $344.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.87% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$351.66
Nearest resistance

+13.53% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$344.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$303.5
Nearest support

-0.97% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$300.55
Deeper support zone

-3.31% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$293.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$296.41 - $310.59

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $300.55, invalidation $312.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.9 / 7.4 / 46.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$279.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$320.34 / $322.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.09 (2.33%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.68%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$333.87 / $302.28Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$296.41 / $310.59Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$344.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$300.55Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.728Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.7 / 8.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $300.55, invalidation $312.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.9 / 7.4 / 46.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$279.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$320.34 / $322.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.728Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.7 / 8.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.09 (2.33%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.68%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$333.87 / $302.28Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$296.41 / $310.59Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$344.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$300.55Range

Related Forecasts