US stock / ETF

Apple

AAPL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish73%
4h Downside probability 73%Bearish

AAPL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $297.51 and stabilize above resistance $317.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $317.38 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.9, MACD 0.378

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.22 (1.43%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$296.84Bearish
EMA 21$297.51Bearish
EMA 50$298.68Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.9 · MACD 0.378

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.22 · BB 3.61%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 54.2 · OBV -5.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$287.38 - $317.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.28% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$321.6
Nearest resistance

+7.85% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$317.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$294.28
Nearest support

-2.34% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$287.38
Deeper support zone

-3.78% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$283.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$290.06 - $298.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $302.42, invalidation $294.39

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.3 / 29.1 / 6.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$284.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$300.36 / $302.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.22 (1.43%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.61%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$305.91 / $288.92Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$290.06 / $298.5Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$317.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$287.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.378Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.3 / 53.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

9.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.65xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $302.42, invalidation $294.39

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.3 / 29.1 / 6.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$284.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$300.36 / $302.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.378Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.3 / 53.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

9.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.22 (1.43%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.61%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$305.91 / $288.92Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$290.06 / $298.5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.65xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$317.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$287.38Range

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