US stock / ETF

Apple

AAPL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish69%
4h Downside probability 69%Bearish

AAPL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $310.93 and stabilize above resistance $320.28.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $320.28 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.4, MACD -0.503

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.26 (1.05%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$311.38Bearish
EMA 21$310.93Bearish
EMA 50$310.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.4 · MACD -0.503

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.26 · BB 5.18%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 51.9 · OBV -5.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$301 - $320.28

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.57% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$323.54
Nearest resistance

+3.52% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$320.28
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$309.4
Nearest support

-2.71% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$301
Deeper support zone

-3.77% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$297.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$306.14 - $312.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $320.28, invalidation $307.09

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.3 / 24.9 / 26.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$300.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$312.55 / $310.64Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.26 (1.05%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.18%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$316.87 / $305.12Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$306.14 / $312.66Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$320.28Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$301Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.503Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.5 / 25.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-30.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.19xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $320.28, invalidation $307.09

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.3 / 24.9 / 26.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$300.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$312.55 / $310.64Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.503Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.5 / 25.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-30.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.26 (1.05%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.18%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$316.87 / $305.12Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$306.14 / $312.66Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.19xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$320.28Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$301Range

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