US stock / ETF

Apple

AAPL · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

AAPL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $164.08 and reclaim $344.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $164.08 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 70.5, MACD 5.392

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $31.24 (9.4%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$299.88Bullish
EMA 21$267.81Bullish
EMA 50$223.47Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 70.5 · MACD 5.392

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $31.24 · BB 59.07%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 69.7 · OBV 16.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$164.08 - $344.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.1% · 1.4 ATR above latest close

$375.81
Nearest resistance

+3.7% · 0.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$344.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$332.27
Nearest support

-50.62% · 5.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$164.08
Deeper support zone

-60.02% · 6.4 ATR below latest close

$132.84
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$301.03 - $363.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $344.57, invalidation $243.42

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 38.3 / 7.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$225.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$275.44 / $234.37Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

93%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.24 (9.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 59.07%

97%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$334.49 / $205.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$301.03 / $363.51Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$344.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$164.08Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

70.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.392Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

91.4 / 83.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-8.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

143.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.26%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $344.57, invalidation $243.42

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 38.3 / 7.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$225.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$275.44 / $234.37Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

93%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

70.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.392Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

91.4 / 83.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-8.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

143.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.24 (9.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 59.07%

97%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$334.49 / $205.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$301.03 / $363.51Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.26%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$344.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$164.08Range

Related Forecasts