US stock / ETF

Apple

AAPL · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish80%
3M Upside probability 80%Bullish

AAPL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $48.15 and reclaim $344.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $48.15 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 73.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $44.87 (13.5%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$265.88Bullish
EMA 21$209.5Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 73.9 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $44.87 · BB 101.51%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 65.6 · OBV 11.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$48.15 - $344.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.21% · 1.3 ATR above latest close

$389.44
Nearest resistance

+3.7% · 0.3 ATR above · 29-bar high

$344.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$332.27
Nearest support

-85.51% · 6.3 ATR below · 29-bar low

$48.15
Deeper support zone

-99.01% · 7.3 ATR below latest close

$3.28
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$287.4 - $377.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $288.62, invalidation $243.42

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.3 / 35.7 / 8.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$166.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$229.39 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

94%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$44.87 (13.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 101.51%

108%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$314.02 / $113.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$287.4 / $377.14Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$344.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.15Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

73.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

93.3 / 85.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-6.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

185.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.09%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $288.62, invalidation $243.42

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.3 / 35.7 / 8.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$166.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$229.39 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

94%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

73.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

93.3 / 85.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-6.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

185.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$44.87 (13.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 101.51%

108%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$314.02 / $113.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$287.4 / $377.14Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.09%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$344.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.15Range

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