US stock / ETF

Apple

AAPL · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish90%
1h Downside probability 90%Bearish

AAPL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $297.54 and stabilize above resistance $302.42.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $302.42 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.4, MACD -0.266

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.86 (0.63%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$297.18Bearish
EMA 21$297.54Bearish
EMA 50$297.51Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.4 · MACD -0.266

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.86 · BB 2.49%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 19.6 · OBV -8.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$294.27 - $302.42

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.4% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$304.28
Nearest resistance

+2.76% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$302.42
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$294.28
Nearest support

-0% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$294.27
Deeper support zone

-0.64% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$292.41
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$292.42 - $296.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $294.28, invalidation $300.31

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.1 / 27.2 / 46.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$289.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$297.82 / $296.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.86 (0.63%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.49%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$301.61 / $293.47Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$292.42 / $296.14Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$302.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$294.27Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.266Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.1 / 32.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-115.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.95xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $294.28, invalidation $300.31

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.1 / 27.2 / 46.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$289.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$297.82 / $296.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.266Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.1 / 32.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-115.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.86 (0.63%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.49%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$301.61 / $293.47Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$292.42 / $296.14Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.95xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$302.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$294.27Range

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