US stock / ETF

Apple

AAPL · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

AAPL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $311.34 and stabilize above resistance $320.28.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $320.28 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.4, MACD -0.229

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.49 (0.48%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$309.95Bearish
EMA 21$311.34Bearish
EMA 50$311.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.4 · MACD -0.229

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.49 · BB 2.80%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 56.2 · OBV -29.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$307.09 - $320.28

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4% · 8.3 ATR above latest close

$321.77
Nearest resistance

+3.52% · 7.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$320.28
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$309.4
Nearest support

-0.75% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$307.09
Deeper support zone

-1.23% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$305.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$307.91 - $310.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $307.09, invalidation $311.82

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 20.2 / 40.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$304.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$311.79 / $313.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.49 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.80%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$314.72 / $307.81Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$307.91 / $310.89Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$320.28Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$307.09Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.229Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.2 / 34.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.42xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $307.09, invalidation $311.82

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 20.2 / 40.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$304.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$311.79 / $313.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.229Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.2 / 34.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.49 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.80%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$314.72 / $307.81Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$307.91 / $310.89Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.42xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$320.28Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$307.09Range

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