US stock / ETF

XPeng Inc.

XPEV · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish91%
4h Downside probability 91%Bearish

XPEV 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $9.36 and stabilize above resistance $10.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $10 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.7, MACD -0.012

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.2432 (2.63%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$9.27Bearish
EMA 21$9.36Bearish
EMA 50$9.49Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.7 · MACD -0.012

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.2432 · BB 10.85%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 52.7 · OBV -2.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$9 - $10

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.86% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$10.24
Nearest resistance

+8.23% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$10
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$9.24
Nearest support

-2.6% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$9
Deeper support zone

-5.23% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$8.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$9 - $9.48

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $9, invalidation $9.53

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.9 / 29.8 / 29.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$9.38 / $9.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.2432 (2.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.85%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$9.79 / $8.92Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$9 / $9.48Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$10Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.012Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.0 / 31.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $9, invalidation $9.53

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.9 / 29.8 / 29.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$9.38 / $9.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.012Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.0 / 31.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.2432 (2.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.85%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$9.79 / $8.92Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$9 / $9.48Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$10Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9Range

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