Cryptocurrency

Stellar Lumens / TetherUS

XLMUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

XLMUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $0.1978 and stabilize above resistance $0.2244.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $0.2244 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.7, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.004843 (2.59%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$0.1899Bearish
EMA 21$0.1978Bearish
EMA 50$0.2047Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.7 · MACD -0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.004843 · BB 19.53%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 16.9 · OBV -24.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$0.1819 - $0.2244

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.46% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

$0.2292
Nearest resistance

+19.87% · 7.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$0.2244
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$0.1872
Nearest support

-2.83% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$0.1819
Deeper support zone

-5.42% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$0.1771
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$0.1824 - $0.1920

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.1907, invalidation $0.1973

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.8 / 4.0 / 45.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.1722Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.1948 / $0.2170Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.004843 (2.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.53%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.2063 / $0.1882Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.1824 / $0.1920Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$0.2244Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.1819Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.3 / 9.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.1907, invalidation $0.1973

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.8 / 4.0 / 45.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.1722Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.1948 / $0.2170Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.3 / 9.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.004843 (2.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.53%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.2063 / $0.1882Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.1824 / $0.1920Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$0.2244Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.1819Range

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