Cryptocurrency

Stellar Lumens / TetherUS

XLMUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish70%
4h Downside probability 70%Bearish

XLMUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1845 and stabilize above resistance 0.1946.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.1946 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.4, MACD 0.000

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 0.003514 (1.9%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1832Bullish
EMA 210.1845Bullish
EMA 500.1873Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.4 · MACD 0.000

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.003514 · BB 7.48%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.3 · OBV -2.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
0.1779 - 0.1946

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.38% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

0.1981
Nearest resistance

+5.47% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.1946
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1845
Nearest support

-3.58% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.1779
Deeper support zone

-5.48% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

0.1744
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.1810 - 0.1880

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1818, invalidation 0.1915

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.7 / 18.5 / 26.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1750Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1841 / 0.1928Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.003514 (1.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.48%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1907 / 0.1780Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1810 / 0.1880Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1946Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1779Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.000Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.5 / 50.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-4.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1818, invalidation 0.1915

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.7 / 18.5 / 26.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1750Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1841 / 0.1928Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.000Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.5 / 50.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-4.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.003514 (1.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.48%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1907 / 0.1780Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1810 / 0.1880Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1946Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1779Range

Related Forecasts