Cryptocurrency

Stellar Lumens / TetherUS

XLMUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish63%
4h Downside probability 63%Bearish

XLMUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1806 and stabilize above resistance 0.1965.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.1965 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.4, MACD 0.000

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 0.003343 (1.86%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1801Bearish
EMA 210.1806Bearish
EMA 500.1819Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.4 · MACD 0.000

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 0.003343 · BB 4.99%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 50.9 · OBV -0.96%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
0.1727 - 0.1965

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.27% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

0.1998
Nearest resistance

+9.41% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.1965
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1796
Nearest support

-3.84% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.1727
Deeper support zone

-5.7% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

0.1694
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.1763 - 0.1829

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1727, invalidation 0.1828

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.5 / 25.9 / 11.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1694Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1809 / 0.1846Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.003343 (1.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.99%

56%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1877 / 0.1735Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1763 / 0.1829Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1965Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1727Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.000Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.8 / 56.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

34.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1727, invalidation 0.1828

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.5 / 25.9 / 11.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1694Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1809 / 0.1846Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.000Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.8 / 56.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

34.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.003343 (1.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.99%

56%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1877 / 0.1735Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1763 / 0.1829Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1965Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1727Range

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