Cryptocurrency

Stellar Lumens / TetherUS

XLMUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish68%
4h Downside probability 68%Bearish

XLMUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1721 and stabilize above resistance 0.1776.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.1776 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.1, MACD -0.000

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 0.002214 (1.29%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1717Bearish
EMA 210.1721Bearish
EMA 500.1739Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.1 · MACD -0.000

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.002214 · BB 3.69%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 57.9 · OBV -1.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
0.1677 - 0.1776

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.09% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

0.1798
Nearest resistance

+3.8% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.1776
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1711
Nearest support

-1.99% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.1677
Deeper support zone

-3.28% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

0.1655
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.1689 - 0.1733

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1731, invalidation 0.1698

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 27.1 / 18.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1648Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1727 / 0.1755Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.002214 (1.29%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.69%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1761 / 0.1681Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1689 / 0.1733Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1776Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1677Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.8 / 30.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1731, invalidation 0.1698

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 27.1 / 18.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1648Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1727 / 0.1755Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.8 / 30.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.002214 (1.29%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.69%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1761 / 0.1681Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1689 / 0.1733Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1776Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1677Range

Related Forecasts