Cryptocurrency

Stellar Lumens / TetherUS

XLMUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish90%
4h Downside probability 90%Bearish

XLMUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.2190 and stabilize above resistance 0.2371.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.2371 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 0.004429 (2.06%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 80.2164Bearish
EMA 210.2190Bearish
EMA 500.2178Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD -0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.004429 · BB 8.77%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.7 · OBV -253.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
0.2065 - 0.2371

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.13% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

0.2415
Nearest resistance

+10.07% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.2371
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.2154
Nearest support

-4.13% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.2065
Deeper support zone

-6.19% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

0.2021
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.2110 - 0.2198

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.2102, invalidation 0.2271

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.9 / 12.3 / 34.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.2017Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.2212 / 0.2218Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.004429 (2.06%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.77%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.2279 / 0.2099Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.2110 / 0.2198Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.2371Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.2065Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.8 / 23.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-253.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.19xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.2102, invalidation 0.2271

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.9 / 12.3 / 34.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.2017Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.2212 / 0.2218Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.8 / 23.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.004429 (2.06%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.77%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.2279 / 0.2099Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.2110 / 0.2198Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-253.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.19xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.2371Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.2065Range

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