Cryptocurrency

Stellar Lumens / TetherUS

XLMUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish83%
4h Downside probability 83%Bearish

XLMUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1466 and stabilize above resistance 0.1526.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.1526 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.0, MACD -0.000

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.003607 (2.53%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1452Bearish
EMA 210.1466Bearish
EMA 500.1506Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.0 · MACD -0.000

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.003607 · BB 6.61%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 48.5 · OBV -8.83%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
0.1408 - 0.1526

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.54% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

0.1562
Nearest resistance

+7.01% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.1526
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1426
Nearest support

-1.26% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.1408
Deeper support zone

-3.79% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

0.1372
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.1390 - 0.1462

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1503, invalidation 0.1423

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 23.6 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1316Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1462 / 0.1552Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.003607 (2.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.61%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1537 / 0.1392Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1390 / 0.1462Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1526Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1408Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.0 / 29.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1503, invalidation 0.1423

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 23.6 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1316Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1462 / 0.1552Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.0 / 29.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.003607 (2.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.61%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1537 / 0.1392Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1390 / 0.1462Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1526Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1408Range

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