Cryptocurrency

Stellar Lumens / TetherUS

XLMUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

XLMUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1780 and stabilize above resistance 0.1872.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.1872 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.9, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 0.002907 (1.68%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1763Bearish
EMA 210.1780Bearish
EMA 500.1808Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.9 · MACD -0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.002907 · BB 8.10%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 21.8 · OBV -74.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
0.1706 - 0.1872

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.64% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

0.1901
Nearest resistance

+7.96% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.1872
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1734
Nearest support

-1.61% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.1706
Deeper support zone

-3.29% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

0.1677
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.1705 - 0.1763

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1742, invalidation 0.1790

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.3 / 7.6 / 41.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1648Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1769 / 0.1789Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.002907 (1.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.10%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1835 / 0.1724Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1705 / 0.1763Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1872Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1706Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 15.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-74.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.43xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1742, invalidation 0.1790

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.3 / 7.6 / 41.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1648Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1769 / 0.1789Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 15.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.002907 (1.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.10%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1835 / 0.1724Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1705 / 0.1763Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-74.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.43xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1872Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1706Range

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