Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 dayBearish88%
Daily Downside probability 88%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,126.8 and stabilize above resistance 4,384.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,384.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.1, MACD -11.381

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 48.45 (1.21%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,067.8Bearish
EMA 214,126.8Bearish
EMA 504,198.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.1 · MACD -11.381

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 48.45 · BB 5.55%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 17.5 · OBV -1326.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,980 - 4,384.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.02% · 9.1 ATR above latest close

4,432.5
Nearest resistance

+9.8% · 8.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,384.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,992.7
Nearest support

-0.32% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,980
Deeper support zone

-1.53% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

3,931.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,944.2 - 4,041.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,186.9, invalidation 4,076

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.3 / 6.5 / 39.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,854.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,093.6 / 4,241Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

48.45 (1.21%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.55%

-10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,216 / 4,030.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,944.2 / 4,041.1Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,384.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,980Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.381Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.5 / 4.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-241.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1326.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,186.9, invalidation 4,076

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.3 / 6.5 / 39.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,854.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,093.6 / 4,241Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.381Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.5 / 4.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-241.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

48.45 (1.21%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.55%

-10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,216 / 4,030.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,944.2 / 4,041.1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1326.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,384.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,980Range

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