Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 dayBearish88%
Daily Downside probability 88%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $4,246.6 and stabilize above resistance $4,572.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $4,572.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.1, MACD -2.501

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $91.4 (2.23%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$4,165.9Bearish
EMA 21$4,246.6Bearish
EMA 50$4,377.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.1 · MACD -2.501

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $91.4 · BB 8.64%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 70.6 · OBV -68.31%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$4,020 - $4,572.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.01% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$4,664.1
Nearest resistance

+11.78% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$4,572.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$4,090.8
Nearest support

-1.73% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$4,020
Deeper support zone

-3.97% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$3,928.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3,999.4 - $4,182.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,361, invalidation $4,113.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.4 / 15.8 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,887.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,257.1 / $4,389.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$91.4 (2.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.64%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,401.7 / $4,079.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3,999.4 / $4,182.2Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,572.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$4,020Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.501Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 32.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-68.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,361, invalidation $4,113.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.4 / 15.8 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,887.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,257.1 / $4,389.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.501Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 32.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$91.4 (2.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.64%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,401.7 / $4,079.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3,999.4 / $4,182.2Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-68.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,572.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$4,020Range

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