Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,256.1 and stabilize above resistance 4,502.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,502 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.3, MACD -14.315

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 57.3 (1.38%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,186.5Bearish
EMA 214,256.1Bearish
EMA 504,301.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.3 · MACD -14.315

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 57.3 · BB 7.78%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 14.1 · OBV -86.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
4,115.2 - 4,502

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.11% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

4,559.3
Nearest resistance

+8.72% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,502
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,140.7
Nearest support

-0.62% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

4,115.2
Deeper support zone

-2% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

4,057.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,083.4 - 4,198

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,115.2, invalidation 4,384.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.3 / 9.3 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,969.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,245.2 / 4,397.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

57.3 (1.38%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.78%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,365.6 / 4,138.9Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,083.4 / 4,198Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,502Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,115.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.315Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.5 / 14.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-86.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,115.2, invalidation 4,384.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.3 / 9.3 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,969.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,245.2 / 4,397.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.315Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.5 / 14.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

57.3 (1.38%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.78%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,365.6 / 4,138.9Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,083.4 / 4,198Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-86.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,502Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,115.2Range

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