Cryptocurrency

Stellar Lumens / TetherUS

XLMUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish90%
Monthly Downside probability 90%Bearish

XLMUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.2139 and stabilize above resistance 0.6374.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.6374 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.8, MACD -0.009

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.0886 (51.1%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1970Bearish
EMA 210.2139Bearish
EMA 500.2167Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.8 · MACD -0.009

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.0886 · BB 118.53%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 27.1 · OBV -20.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
0.0757 - 0.6374

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+318.69% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

0.7260
Nearest resistance

+267.59% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.6374
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1734
Nearest support

-56.34% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.0757
Deeper support zone

-107.44% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

-0.0129
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.0848 - 0.2620

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.2982, invalidation 0.1524

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.4 / 10.5 / 23.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-0.0148Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.2893 / 0.3538Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.0886 (51.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 118.53%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.3574 / 0.0698Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0848 / 0.2620Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.6374Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0757Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.009Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.4 / 17.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.2982, invalidation 0.1524

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.4 / 10.5 / 23.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-0.0148Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.2893 / 0.3538Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.009Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.4 / 17.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.0886 (51.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 118.53%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.3574 / 0.0698Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0848 / 0.2620Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.6374Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0757Range

Related Forecasts