US stock / ETF

Xcel Energy Inc.

XEL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish88%
4h Downside probability 88%Bearish

XEL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $74.2 and stabilize above resistance $77.06.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $77.06 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.8, MACD -0.183

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6891 (0.95%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$73.2Bearish
EMA 21$74.2Bearish
EMA 50$75.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.8 · MACD -0.183

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6891 · BB 7.12%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 23.9 · OBV -22.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$72.32 - $77.06

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.93% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$77.75
Nearest resistance

+5.98% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$77.06
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$72.71
Nearest support

-0.54% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$72.32
Deeper support zone

-1.48% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$71.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$72.02 - $73.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.08, invalidation $72.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.0 / 18.1 / 41.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$70.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.16 / $75.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6891 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.12%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$75.62 / $72.66Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$72.02 / $73.4Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$77.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.32Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.183Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.7 / 13.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.08xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.08, invalidation $72.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.0 / 18.1 / 41.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$70.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.16 / $75.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.183Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.7 / 13.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6891 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.12%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$75.62 / $72.66Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$72.02 / $73.4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.08xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$77.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.32Range

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