US stock / ETF

Xcel Energy Inc.

XEL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish77%
4h Downside probability 77%Bearish

XEL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $79.97 and stabilize above resistance $82.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $82.37 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.7, MACD -0.087

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.8046 (1.02%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$79.72Bearish
EMA 21$79.97Bearish
EMA 50$80.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.7 · MACD -0.087

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.8046 · BB 3.07%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 21.0 · OBV -11.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$78.71 - $82.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.51% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$83.17
Nearest resistance

+4.49% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$82.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$78.83
Nearest support

-0.15% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$78.71
Deeper support zone

-1.17% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$77.91
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$78.03 - $79.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $81.15, invalidation $78.94

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.5 / 40.4 / 22.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.96 / $80.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8046 (1.02%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.07%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.9 / $78.02Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.03 / $79.63Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$82.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.71Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.087Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.7 / 25.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-185.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.24xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $81.15, invalidation $78.94

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.5 / 40.4 / 22.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.96 / $80.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.087Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.7 / 25.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-185.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8046 (1.02%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.07%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.9 / $78.02Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.03 / $79.63Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.24xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$82.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.71Range

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