US stock / ETF

Xcel Energy Inc.

XEL · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish79%
Weekly Downside probability 79%Bearish

XEL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $79.01 and stabilize above resistance $84.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $84.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.3, MACD -0.485

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.48 (4.51%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$78.36Bearish
EMA 21$79.01Bearish
EMA 50$77.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.3 · MACD -0.485

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.48 · BB 8.74%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.7 · OBV -47.08%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$72.74 - $84.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.67% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$87.71
Nearest resistance

+9.16% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$84.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$77.16
Nearest support

-5.73% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$72.74
Deeper support zone

-10.23% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$69.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$73.68 - $80.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.08, invalidation $82.57

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.4 / 12.5 / 12.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.75 / $77.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.48 (4.51%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.74%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$86.26 / $71.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.68 / $80.64Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$84.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.74Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.485Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.9 / 21.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-145.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-47.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.08, invalidation $82.57

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.4 / 12.5 / 12.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.75 / $77.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.485Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.9 / 21.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-145.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.48 (4.51%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.74%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$86.26 / $71.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.68 / $80.64Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-47.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$84.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.74Range

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