US stock / ETF

Xcel Energy Inc.

XEL · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish85%
Weekly Downside probability 85%Bearish

XEL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $77.85 and stabilize above resistance $84.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $84.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.8, MACD -0.780

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.37 (4.64%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$76.18Bearish
EMA 21$77.85Bearish
EMA 50$77.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.8 · MACD -0.780

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.37 · BB 11.91%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 33.6 · OBV -60.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$72.29 - $84.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.48% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$87.6
Nearest resistance

+15.84% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$84.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$72.71
Nearest support

-0.58% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$72.29
Deeper support zone

-5.22% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$68.91
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$69.34 - $76.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.08, invalidation $80.81

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.9 / 12.4 / 16.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$64.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$77.75 / $78.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.37 (4.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.91%

-12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$83.97 / $71.62Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$69.34 / $76.08Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$84.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.780Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 8.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-217.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-60.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.08, invalidation $80.81

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.9 / 12.4 / 16.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$64.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$77.75 / $78.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.780Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 8.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-217.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.37 (4.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.91%

-12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$83.97 / $71.62Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$69.34 / $76.08Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-60.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$84.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.29Range

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