US stock / ETF

Xcel Energy Inc.

XEL · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish64%
Monthly Downside probability 64%Bearish

XEL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $74.7 and stabilize above resistance $84.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $84.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.9, MACD -1.164

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.5 (8.93%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$75.77Bearish
EMA 21$74.7Bearish
EMA 50$70.94Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.9 · MACD -1.164

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.5 · BB 25.02%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.5 · OBV -12.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$46.79 - $84.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.74% · 2.8 ATR above latest close

$90.73
Nearest resistance

+15.81% · 1.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$84.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$72.73
Nearest support

-35.67% · 4.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$46.79
Deeper support zone

-44.6% · 5.0 ATR below latest close

$40.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$66.23 - $79.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $84.23, invalidation $72.43

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.1 / 17.9 / 18.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$52.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.56 / $65.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.5 (8.93%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.02%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.64 / $62.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$66.23 / $79.23Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$84.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$46.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.164Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.9 / 30.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-62.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $84.23, invalidation $72.43

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.1 / 17.9 / 18.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$52.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.56 / $65.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.164Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.9 / 30.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-62.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.5 (8.93%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.02%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.64 / $62.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$66.23 / $79.23Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$84.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$46.79Range

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