Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $4,099.4 and stabilize above resistance $4,209.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $4,209.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.9, MACD -12.883

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $42.87 (1.07%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$4,048.7Bearish
EMA 21$4,099.4Bearish
EMA 50$4,151.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.9 · MACD -12.883

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $42.87 · BB 5.70%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 19.7 · OBV -15.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$3,956.6 - $4,209.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.62% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$4,252.3
Nearest resistance

+5.54% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$4,209.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3,988.3
Nearest support

-0.79% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3,956.6
Deeper support zone

-1.87% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$3,913.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3,945.4 - $4,031.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,083.6, invalidation $4,184.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 2.4 / 43.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,847.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,063.9 / $4,158.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$42.87 (1.07%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.70%

-4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,190.5 / $4,002.8Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3,945.4 / $4,031.2Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,209.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3,956.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.883Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.1 / 10.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.11xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,083.6, invalidation $4,184.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 2.4 / 43.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,847.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,063.9 / $4,158.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.883Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.1 / 10.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$42.87 (1.07%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.70%

-4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,190.5 / $4,002.8Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3,945.4 / $4,031.2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.11xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,209.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3,956.6Range

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