Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,046.3 and stabilize above resistance 4,106.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,106.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD -0.598

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 13.88 (0.34%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,043.6Bearish
EMA 214,046.3Bearish
EMA 504,049.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD -0.598

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 13.88 · BB 0.61%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 71.1 · OBV -4.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
3,992.2 - 4,106.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.97% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

4,120.6
Nearest resistance

+1.63% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,106.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,040.9
Nearest support

-1.2% · 3.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,992.2
Deeper support zone

-1.55% · 4.5 ATR below latest close

3,978.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,027 - 4,054.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,068.3, invalidation 4,011.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.7 / 19.7 / 21.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,992.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,049.4 / 4,049.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

13.88 (0.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 0.61%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,082.2 / 4,010.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,027 / 4,054.8Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,106.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,992.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.598Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.9 / 55.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

6.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,068.3, invalidation 4,011.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.7 / 19.7 / 21.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,992.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,049.4 / 4,049.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.598Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.9 / 55.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

6.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

13.88 (0.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 0.61%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,082.2 / 4,010.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,027 / 4,054.8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,106.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,992.2Range

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