Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 3,969.7 and stabilize above resistance 4,129.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,129.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.0, MACD -11.638

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 31.15 (0.8%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 83,916.9Bearish
EMA 213,969.7Bearish
EMA 504,002.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.0 · MACD -11.638

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 31.15 · BB 7.07%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 23.8 · OBV -13.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,850.5 - 4,129.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.87% · 8.6 ATR above latest close

4,161
Nearest resistance

+6.07% · 7.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,129.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,893.6
Nearest support

-1.11% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,850.5
Deeper support zone

-1.91% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

3,819.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,862.4 - 3,924.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,850.5, invalidation 4,056.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.7 / 13.1 / 42.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,799.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

3,956.4 / 3,990.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

31.15 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.07%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,033 / 3,900.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,862.4 / 3,924.7Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,129.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,850.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.638Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.9 / 21.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,850.5, invalidation 4,056.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.7 / 13.1 / 42.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,799.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

3,956.4 / 3,990.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.638Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.9 / 21.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

31.15 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.07%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,033 / 3,900.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,862.4 / 3,924.7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,129.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,850.5Range

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