Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish76%
4h Downside probability 76%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,056.2 and stabilize above resistance 4,124.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,124.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD 2.296

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 29.24 (0.72%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,043.2Bullish
EMA 214,056.2Bearish
EMA 504,077.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD 2.296

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 29.24 · BB 3.46%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 50.5 · OBV -0.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
3,984 - 4,124.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.48% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

4,153.7
Nearest resistance

+1.76% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,124.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,053.4
Nearest support

-1.71% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,984
Deeper support zone

-2.43% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

3,954.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,024.1 - 4,082.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,984, invalidation 4,096.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.3 / 24.3 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,959.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,044.4 / 4,076.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

29.24 (0.72%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.46%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,117 / 3,993.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,024.1 / 4,082.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,124.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,984Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.296Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

60.6 / 63.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-39.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-14.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,984, invalidation 4,096.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.3 / 24.3 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,959.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,044.4 / 4,076.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.296Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

60.6 / 63.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-39.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-14.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

29.24 (0.72%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.46%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,117 / 3,993.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,024.1 / 4,082.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,124.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,984Range

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