Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish71%
4h Downside probability 71%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,356.5 and stabilize above resistance 4,439.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,439 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.9, MACD 2.319

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 17.12 (0.39%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,349.4Bearish
EMA 214,356.5Bearish
EMA 504,379.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD 2.319

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 17.12 · BB 1.89%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 75.2 · OBV -43.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
4,302.3 - 4,439

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.51% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

4,456.2
Nearest resistance

+2.11% · 5.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,439
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,347.2
Nearest support

-1.03% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

4,302.3
Deeper support zone

-1.43% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

4,285.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,330.1 - 4,364.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,400.2, invalidation 4,348.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 28.0 / 2.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

4,339.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,358.6 / 4,370.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

17.12 (0.39%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.89%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,362.5 / 4,349.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,330.1 / 4,364.3Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,439Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,302.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.319Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.8 / 47.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,400.2, invalidation 4,348.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 28.0 / 2.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

4,339.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,358.6 / 4,370.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.319Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.8 / 47.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

17.12 (0.39%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.89%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,362.5 / 4,349.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,330.1 / 4,364.3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,439Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,302.3Range

Related Forecasts