Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,162.1 and stabilize above resistance 4,261.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,261.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.9, MACD -0.650

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 23.31 (0.56%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,147.6Bearish
EMA 214,162.1Bearish
EMA 504,197.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.9 · MACD -0.650

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 23.31 · BB 1.73%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 24.1 · OBV -44.91%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
4,115.2 - 4,261.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.48% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

4,284.8
Nearest resistance

+2.92% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,261.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,140.7
Nearest support

-0.62% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

4,115.2
Deeper support zone

-1.18% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

4,091.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,117.4 - 4,164

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,223.5, invalidation 4,136

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.4 / 4.9 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

4,070.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,177.6 / 4,213.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

23.31 (0.56%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.73%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,207.6 / 4,114.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,117.4 / 4,164Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,261.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,115.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.650Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.9 / 9.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-44.91%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,223.5, invalidation 4,136

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.4 / 4.9 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

4,070.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,177.6 / 4,213.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.650Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.9 / 9.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

23.31 (0.56%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.73%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,207.6 / 4,114.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,117.4 / 4,164Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-44.91%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,261.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,115.2Range

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