Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish81%
4h Downside probability 81%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,061.3 and stabilize above resistance 4,186.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,186.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 19.4, MACD -7.438

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 29.68 (0.74%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,019.6Bearish
EMA 214,061.3Bearish
EMA 504,102.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 19.4 · MACD -7.438

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 29.68 · BB 5.03%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 7.2 · OBV -70.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,980 - 4,186.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.71% · 7.7 ATR above latest close

4,216.6
Nearest resistance

+4.97% · 6.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,186.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,988.7
Nearest support

-0.22% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,980
Deeper support zone

-0.96% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

3,950.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,959 - 4,018.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,980, invalidation 4,036.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.2 / 0.5 / 45.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,903.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,051 / 4,085.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

29.68 (0.74%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.03%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,118.8 / 3,999Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,959 / 4,018.4Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,186.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,980Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

19.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.438Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.4 / 12.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

7.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-70.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,980, invalidation 4,036.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.2 / 0.5 / 45.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,903.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,051 / 4,085.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

19.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.438Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.4 / 12.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

29.68 (0.74%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.03%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,118.8 / 3,999Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,959 / 4,018.4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

7.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-70.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,186.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,980Range

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