Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 hourBearish88%
1h Downside probability 88%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $4,033.6 and stabilize above resistance $4,132.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $4,132.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.6, MACD -4.425

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $27.65 (0.69%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$3,999.7Bearish
EMA 21$4,033.6Bearish
EMA 50$4,076.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.6 · MACD -4.425

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $27.65 · BB 3.69%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 47.0 · OBV -1.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$3,956.6 - $4,132.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.32% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$4,160.6
Nearest resistance

+3.63% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$4,132.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3,988.3
Nearest support

-0.79% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3,956.6
Deeper support zone

-1.49% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$3,929
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3,960.6 - $4,015.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3,965.7, invalidation $4,088.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.1 / 4.6 / 37.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,883.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,021.6 / $4,070.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$27.65 (0.69%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.69%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,096.9 / $3,966Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3,960.6 / $4,015.9Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,132.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3,956.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.425Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.0 / 14.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3,965.7, invalidation $4,088.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.1 / 4.6 / 37.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,883.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,021.6 / $4,070.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.425Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.0 / 14.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$27.65 (0.69%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.69%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,096.9 / $3,966Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3,960.6 / $4,015.9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,132.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3,956.6Range

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