Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish74%
Weekly Downside probability 74%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,359 and stabilize above resistance 4,865.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,865.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.4, MACD --

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 188.87 (4.56%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 84,290.9Bearish
EMA 214,359Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.4 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 188.87 · BB 16.41%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.6 · OBV -149.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,945 - 4,865.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.05% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

5,054
Nearest resistance

+17.49% · 3.8 ATR above · 28-bar high

4,865.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,140.7
Nearest support

-4.73% · 1.0 ATR below · 28-bar low

3,945
Deeper support zone

-9.29% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

3,756.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,951.9 - 4,329.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,679.5, invalidation 4,242.9

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,611.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,375.2 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

188.87 (4.56%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.41%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,741.8 / 3,973Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,951.9 / 4,329.6Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,865.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,945Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.6 / 42.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-149.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.11xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,679.5, invalidation 4,242.9

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,611.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,375.2 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.6 / 42.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

188.87 (4.56%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.41%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,741.8 / 3,973Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,951.9 / 4,329.6Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-149.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.11xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,865.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,945Range

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