Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish55%
Weekly Downside probability 55%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,396.1 and stabilize above resistance 4,865.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,865.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 49.4, MACD --

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 216.51 (4.98%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 84,352.4Bearish
EMA 214,396.1Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.4 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 216.51 · BB 19.35%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 26.9 · OBV -135.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,945 - 4,865.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.89% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

5,081.6
Nearest resistance

+11.91% · 2.4 ATR above · 25-bar high

4,865.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,347.2
Nearest support

-9.25% · 1.9 ATR below · 25-bar low

3,945
Deeper support zone

-14.23% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

3,728.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,130.7 - 4,563.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,679.5, invalidation 4,285.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,781.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

216.51 (4.98%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.35%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,788.7 / 4,003.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,130.7 / 4,563.7Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,865.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,945Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.8 / 62.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-135.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,679.5, invalidation 4,285.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,781.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.8 / 62.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

216.51 (4.98%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.35%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,788.7 / 4,003.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,130.7 / 4,563.7Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-135.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,865.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,945Range

Related Forecasts