Cryptocurrency

Tether Gold / TetherUS

XAUTUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish66%
Weekly Downside probability 66%Bearish

XAUTUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,210.9 and stabilize above resistance 4,865.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,865.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.8, MACD -43.702

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 190.36 (4.89%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 84,061.6Bearish
EMA 214,210.9Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.8 · MACD -43.702

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 190.36 · BB 17.88%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.2 · OBV -225.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,850.5 - 4,865.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.84% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

5,055.4
Nearest resistance

+24.95% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,865.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,893.6
Nearest support

-1.11% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,850.5
Deeper support zone

-6% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

3,660.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,703.2 - 4,083.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,679.5, invalidation 3,945

unconfirmed · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.0 / 14.8 / 22.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,459.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,194.4 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

190.36 (4.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.88%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,557.8 / 3,850.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,703.2 / 4,083.9Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,865.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,850.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-43.702Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 9.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-105.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-225.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,679.5, invalidation 3,945

unconfirmed · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.0 / 14.8 / 22.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,459.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,194.4 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-43.702Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 9.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-105.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

190.36 (4.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.88%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,557.8 / 3,850.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,703.2 / 4,083.9Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-225.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,865.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,850.5Range

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