US stock / ETF

Tractor Supply Company

TSCO · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish87%
4h Downside probability 87%Bearish

TSCO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $31.63 and stabilize above resistance $33.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $33.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.8, MACD 0.017

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4543 (1.46%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$31.41Bearish
EMA 21$31.63Bearish
EMA 50$32.18Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.8 · MACD 0.017

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4543 · BB 5.16%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 31.6 · OBV -19.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$30.76 - $33.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.5% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$34.35
Nearest resistance

+9.04% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$33.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$31.09
Nearest support

-1.06% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$30.76
Deeper support zone

-2.52% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$30.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$30.64 - $31.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $30.76, invalidation $32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.9 / 16.4 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$31.57 / $32.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4543 (1.46%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.16%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$32.43 / $30.78Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.64 / $31.54Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$33.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$30.76Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.017Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 27.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-105.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.83xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $30.76, invalidation $32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.9 / 16.4 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$31.57 / $32.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.017Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 27.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-105.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4543 (1.46%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.16%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$32.43 / $30.78Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.64 / $31.54Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.83xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$33.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$30.76Range

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