US stock / ETF

Tractor Supply Company

TSCO · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

TSCO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $42.6 and stabilize above resistance $63.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $63.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.5, MACD -2.149

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.96 (17.7%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$35.92Bearish
EMA 21$42.6Bearish
EMA 50$43.63Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.5 · MACD -2.149

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.96 · BB 89.65%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.7 · OBV -6.31%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$28.36 - $63.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+107.78% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$69.95
Nearest resistance

+90.08% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$63.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$33.67
Nearest support

-15.76% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.36
Deeper support zone

-33.46% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$22.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$27.7 - $39.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.36, invalidation $36.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.0 / 7.7 / 35.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$14.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.22 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.96 (17.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 89.65%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$54.7 / $29.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.7 / $39.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.149Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 14.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.36, invalidation $36.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.0 / 7.7 / 35.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$14.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.22 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.149Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 14.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.96 (17.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 89.65%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$54.7 / $29.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.7 / $39.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

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