US stock / ETF

Tractor Supply Company

TSCO · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish70%
Monthly Downside probability 70%Bearish

TSCO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $44.72 and stabilize above resistance $63.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $63.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.0, MACD -2.745

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.6 (18.87%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$38.09Bearish
EMA 21$44.72Bearish
EMA 50$44.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.0 · MACD -2.745

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.6 · BB 79.08%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.6 · OBV -11.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$28.36 - $63.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+101.8% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$70.59
Nearest resistance

+82.93% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$63.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$34.98
Nearest support

-18.93% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.36
Deeper support zone

-37.8% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$21.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$28.38 - $41.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.99, invalidation $28.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 18.1 / 30.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$15.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.25 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.6 (18.87%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.08%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$56.87 / $32.09Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.38 / $41.58Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.745Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.6 / 11.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.99, invalidation $28.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 18.1 / 30.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$15.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.25 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.745Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.6 / 11.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.6 (18.87%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.08%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$56.87 / $32.09Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.38 / $41.58Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

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