US stock / ETF

Tractor Supply Company

TSCO · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish89%
Monthly Downside probability 89%Bearish

TSCO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $43.65 and stabilize above resistance $63.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $63.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.2, MACD -2.459

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.95 (18.03%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$36.95Bearish
EMA 21$43.65Bearish
EMA 50$44.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.2 · MACD -2.459

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.95 · BB 84.58%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.9 · OBV -19.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$28.36 - $63.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+111.88% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$69.94
Nearest resistance

+93.85% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$63.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$33.01
Nearest support

-14.09% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.36
Deeper support zone

-32.12% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$22.41
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$27.06 - $38.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.99, invalidation $28.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.3 / 7.7 / 33.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.25 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.95 (18.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 84.58%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$55.29 / $31.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.06 / $38.96Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.459Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.5 / 12.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.99, invalidation $28.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.3 / 7.7 / 33.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.25 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.459Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.5 / 12.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.95 (18.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 84.58%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$55.29 / $31.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.06 / $38.96Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

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