US stock / ETF

Tractor Supply Company

TSCO · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

TSCO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $42.36 and stabilize above resistance $63.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $63.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.7, MACD -2.314

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.66 (18.2%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$35.35Bearish
EMA 21$42.36Bearish
EMA 50$43.53Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.7 · MACD -2.314

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.66 · BB 91.37%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.6 · OBV -22.28%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$28.36 - $63.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+124.02% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$69.65
Nearest resistance

+105.82% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$63.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$31.09
Nearest support

-8.78% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.36
Deeper support zone

-26.98% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$22.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$25.43 - $36.75

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.36, invalidation $36.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.9 / 8.1 / 36.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.22 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.66 (18.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 91.37%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$53.61 / $30.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.43 / $36.75Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.314Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.1 / 11.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.28%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.36, invalidation $36.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.9 / 8.1 / 36.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.22 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.314Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.1 / 11.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.66 (18.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 91.37%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$53.61 / $30.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.43 / $36.75Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.28%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

Related Forecasts