US stock / ETF

Tractor Supply Company

TSCO · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish80%
Monthly Downside probability 80%Bearish

TSCO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $45.68 and stabilize above resistance $63.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $63.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.2, MACD -3.161

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.63 (21.64%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$38.95Bearish
EMA 21$45.68Bearish
EMA 50$44.94Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.2 · MACD -3.161

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.63 · BB 74.11%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.8 · OBV -4.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$28.36 - $63.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+130.56% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$70.62
Nearest resistance

+108.92% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$63.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$30.63
Nearest support

-7.41% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.36
Deeper support zone

-29.05% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$21.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$24 - $37.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.99, invalidation $46.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.3 / 13.4 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.41 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.63 (21.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 74.11%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$57.64 / $33.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$24 / $37.26Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.161Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.4 / 7.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-182.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.99, invalidation $46.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.3 / 13.4 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.41 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.161Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.4 / 7.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-182.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.63 (21.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 74.11%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$57.64 / $33.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$24 / $37.26Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

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