US stock / ETF

Tractor Supply Company

TSCO · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish91%
Monthly Downside probability 91%Bearish

TSCO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $42.08 and stabilize above resistance $63.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $63.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.7, MACD -1.549

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.75 (15.69%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$36.13Bullish
EMA 21$42.08Bearish
EMA 50$43.36Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.7 · MACD -1.549

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.75 · BB 91.00%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.9 · OBV 13.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$28.36 - $63.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+90.38% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$69.74
Nearest resistance

+74.69% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$63.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$36.63
Nearest support

-22.58% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.36
Deeper support zone

-38.27% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$22.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$30.88 - $42.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.36, invalidation $36.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.1 / 11.3 / 36.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$43.36 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.75 (15.69%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 91.00%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$53.46 / $30.12Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.88 / $42.38Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.549Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.7 / 17.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

13.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.36, invalidation $36.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.1 / 11.3 / 36.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$43.36 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.549Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.7 / 17.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.75 (15.69%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 91.00%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$53.46 / $30.12Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.88 / $42.38Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

13.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

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