US stock / ETF

Tractor Supply Company

TSCO · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish79%
Monthly Downside probability 79%Bearish

TSCO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $47.01 and stabilize above resistance $63.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $63.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.8, MACD -3.204

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.66 (22.38%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$40.92Bearish
EMA 21$47.01Bearish
EMA 50$45.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.8 · MACD -3.204

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.66 · BB 66.84%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.5 · OBV -46.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$28.36 - $63.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+136.6% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$70.39
Nearest resistance

+114.22% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$63.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$29.75
Nearest support

-4.67% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.36
Deeper support zone

-27.05% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$21.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$23.09 - $36.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.73, invalidation $46.91

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.2 / 12.2 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.66 / $46.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.66 (22.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.84%

-11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$59.47 / $34.23Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$23.09 / $36.41Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.204Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.9 / 4.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-246.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-46.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.92xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.73, invalidation $46.91

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.2 / 12.2 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.66 / $46.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.204Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.9 / 4.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-246.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.66 (22.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.84%

-11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$59.47 / $34.23Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$23.09 / $36.41Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-46.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.92xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

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