US stock / ETF

Tractor Supply Company

TSCO · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

TSCO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $36.61 and stabilize above resistance $56.28.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $56.28 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.7, MACD 0.044

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.69 (8.78%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$31.56Bearish
EMA 21$36.61Bearish
EMA 50$43.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.7 · MACD 0.044

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.69 · BB 77.85%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.3 · OBV -71.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$28.36 - $56.28

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+92.53% · 10.5 ATR above latest close

$58.97
Nearest resistance

+83.75% · 9.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$56.28
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$30.63
Nearest support

-7.41% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.36
Deeper support zone

-16.19% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$25.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$27.94 - $33.32

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.36, invalidation $32.64

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

83.2 / 5.8 / 50.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$36.41 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.69 (8.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 77.85%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$40.36 / $32.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.94 / $33.32Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$56.28Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.044Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.9 / 14.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-62.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-71.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.36, invalidation $32.64

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

83.2 / 5.8 / 50.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$36.41 / $46.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.044Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.9 / 14.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-62.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.69 (8.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 77.85%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$40.36 / $32.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.94 / $33.32Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-71.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$56.28Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.36Range

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