US stock / ETF

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.

TROW · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish91%
4h Downside probability 91%Bearish

TROW 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $105.02 and stabilize above resistance $111.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $111.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.1, MACD -0.083

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.14 (1.11%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$103.43Bearish
EMA 21$105.02Bearish
EMA 50$107.39Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.1 · MACD -0.083

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.14 · BB 6.78%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 25.3 · OBV 17.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$101.45 - $111.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.2% · 8.3 ATR above latest close

$112.43
Nearest resistance

+8.09% · 7.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$111.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$102.96
Nearest support

-1.47% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$101.45
Deeper support zone

-2.57% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$100.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$101.82 - $104.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.45, invalidation $104.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.4 / 21.1 / 44.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$104.54 / $107.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.14 (1.11%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.78%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.54 / $102.27Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.82 / $104.1Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$111.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.083Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.0 / 26.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

17.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.45, invalidation $104.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.4 / 21.1 / 44.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$104.54 / $107.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.083Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.0 / 26.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.14 (1.11%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.78%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.54 / $102.27Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.82 / $104.1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

17.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$111.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.45Range

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