US stock / ETF

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.

TROW · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish80%
1h Downside probability 80%Bearish

TROW 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $103.64 and stabilize above resistance $106.84.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $106.84 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.2, MACD 0.045

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.7199 (0.7%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$103.05Bearish
EMA 21$103.64Bearish
EMA 50$105Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD 0.045

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7199 · BB 3.37%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 63.8 · OBV -10.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$101.45 - $106.84

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.44% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

$107.56
Nearest resistance

+3.74% · 5.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$106.84
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$102.99
Nearest support

-1.49% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$101.45
Deeper support zone

-2.19% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$100.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$102.27 - $103.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.75, invalidation $102.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.6 / 23.6 / 42.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.22 / $105.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7199 (0.7%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.37%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.29 / $101.9Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.27 / $103.7Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$106.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.045Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.7 / 49.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-62.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.75, invalidation $102.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.6 / 23.6 / 42.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.22 / $105.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.045Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.7 / 49.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-62.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7199 (0.7%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.37%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.29 / $101.9Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.27 / $103.7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$106.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.45Range

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