US stock / ETF

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

SPCX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

SPCX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $155.74 and stabilize above resistance $175.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $175.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.5, MACD -1.299

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $3.02 (2.03%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$151.06Bearish
EMA 21$155.74Bearish
EMA 50$157.19Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.5 · MACD -1.299

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.02 · BB 15.61%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 19.6 · OBV -64.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$141.25 - $175.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.08% · 9.9 ATR above latest close

$178.8
Nearest resistance

+18.05% · 8.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$175.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$148.9
Nearest support

-5.14% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$141.25
Deeper support zone

-7.16% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$138.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$145.88 - $151.92

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $141.25, invalidation $166.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.8 / 3.2 / 52.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$139.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$152.63 / $158.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.02 (2.03%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.61%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$161.85 / $149.19Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$145.88 / $151.92Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$175.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$141.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.299Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.7 / 30.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-64.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $141.25, invalidation $166.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.8 / 3.2 / 52.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$139.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$152.63 / $158.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.299Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.7 / 30.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.02 (2.03%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.61%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$161.85 / $149.19Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$145.88 / $151.92Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-64.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$175.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$141.25Range

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