US stock / ETF

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

SPCX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

SPCX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $145.16 and stabilize above resistance $167.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $167.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.3, MACD -0.539

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.59 (2.62%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$139.97Bearish
EMA 21$145.16Bearish
EMA 50$153.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.3 · MACD -0.539

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.59 · BB 14.70%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 24.5 · OBV -10.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$135.52 - $167.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.4% · 9.7 ATR above latest close

$171.48
Nearest resistance

+22.78% · 8.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$167.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$136.75
Nearest support

-0.9% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$135.52
Deeper support zone

-3.52% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$131.93
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$133.16 - $140.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $136.78, invalidation $143.33

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.7 / 10.8 / 36.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$125.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$144.95 / $155.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.59 (2.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.70%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$151.91 / $137.74Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$133.16 / $140.34Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$167.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$135.52Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.539Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.8 / 14.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.19xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $136.78, invalidation $143.33

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.7 / 10.8 / 36.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$125.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$144.95 / $155.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.539Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.8 / 14.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.59 (2.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.70%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$151.91 / $137.74Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$133.16 / $140.34Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.19xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$167.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$135.52Range

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