US stock / ETF

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

SPCX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish64%
4h Downside probability 64%Bearish

SPCX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $174.38 and stabilize above resistance $225.56.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $225.56 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.9, MACD --

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.68 (6.86%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$161.06Bearish
EMA 21$174.38Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.9 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.68 · BB 41.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.7 · OBV -28.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$147.12 - $225.56

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+51.85% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$236.24
Nearest resistance

+44.98% · 6.6 ATR above · 23-bar high

$225.56
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$155.58
Nearest support

-5.44% · 0.8 ATR below · 23-bar low

$147.12
Deeper support zone

-12.3% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$136.44
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$144.9 - $166.25

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $159.82, invalidation $150.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$129.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.68 (6.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.50%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$191.66 / $154.93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$144.9 / $166.25Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$225.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$147.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.7 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $159.82, invalidation $150.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$129.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.7 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.68 (6.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.50%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$191.66 / $154.93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$144.9 / $166.25Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$225.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$147.12Range

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