US stock / ETF

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

SPCX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish66%
4h Upside probability 66%Bullish

SPCX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $104.83 and reclaim $124.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $104.83 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.9, MACD 0.629

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.84 (3.36%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$111.88Bullish
EMA 21$112.93Bullish
EMA 50$119.33Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.9 · MACD 0.629

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $3.84 · BB 10.61%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 58.5 · OBV 6.23%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$104.83 - $124.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.32% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$128.49
Nearest resistance

+8.96% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$124.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$114.4
Nearest support

-8.37% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$104.83
Deeper support zone

-11.72% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$100.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$110.56 - $118.24

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.83, invalidation $115.08

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 28.2 / 16.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$111.18 / $121.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.84 (3.36%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.61%

64%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.65 / $105.93Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.56 / $118.24Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.629Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.9 / 61.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

69.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.23%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.83, invalidation $115.08

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 28.2 / 16.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$111.18 / $121.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.629Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.9 / 61.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

69.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.84 (3.36%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.61%

64%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.65 / $105.93Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.56 / $118.24Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.23%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.83Range

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