US stock / ETF

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

SPCX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish68%
4h Downside probability 68%Bearish

SPCX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $137.58 and stabilize above resistance $149.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $149.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.8, MACD -0.806

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.37 (2.46%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$136.21Bullish
EMA 21$137.58Bearish
EMA 50$135.01Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.8 · MACD -0.806

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.37 · BB 13.20%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 27.8 · OBV 0.66%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$130.5 - $149.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.95% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$153.17
Nearest resistance

+9.49% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$149.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$136.82
Nearest support

-4.62% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$130.5
Deeper support zone

-7.08% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$127.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$133.45 - $140.19

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $145.42, invalidation $131.39

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 15.9 / 33.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$127.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$137.78 / $127.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.37 (2.46%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.20%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$143.48 / $131.66Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$133.45 / $140.19Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.806Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.1 / 36.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.66%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $145.42, invalidation $131.39

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 15.9 / 33.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$127.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$137.78 / $127.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.806Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.1 / 36.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.37 (2.46%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.20%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$143.48 / $131.66Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$133.45 / $140.19Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.66%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.5Range

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