US stock / ETF

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

SPCX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish72%
4h Downside probability 72%Bearish

SPCX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $140.05 and stabilize above resistance $148.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $148.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.5, MACD -0.190

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.99 (2.85%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$140.86Bearish
EMA 21$140.05Bearish
EMA 50$140.21Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.5 · MACD -0.190

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.99 · BB 7.69%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.0 · OBV 78.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$120.81 - $148.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.87% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$152.43
Nearest resistance

+6.02% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$148.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$140.01
Nearest support

-13.71% · 4.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$120.81
Deeper support zone

-16.56% · 5.8 ATR below latest close

$116.82
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$136.02 - $144

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $145.06, invalidation $137.27

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.2 / 20.8 / 31.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$128.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$138.79 / $134.63Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.99 (2.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.69%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$147.94 / $132.29Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$136.02 / $144Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$148.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.190Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 42.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

45.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

78.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.32xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $145.06, invalidation $137.27

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.2 / 20.8 / 31.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$128.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$138.79 / $134.63Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.190Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 42.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.99 (2.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.69%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$147.94 / $132.29Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$136.02 / $144Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

45.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

78.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.32xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$148.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.81Range

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