US stock / ETF

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

SPCX · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish65%
Weekly Downside probability 65%Bearish

SPCX 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $144.08 and stabilize above resistance $225.64.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $225.64 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.5, MACD --

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16.02 (11.45%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$143.07Bearish
EMA 21$144.08Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.5 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.02 · BB 39.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 67.8 · OBV 203.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$104.83 - $225.64

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+72.69% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

$241.66
Nearest resistance

+61.24% · 5.4 ATR above · 23-bar high

$225.64
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$139.94
Nearest support

-25.09% · 2.2 ATR below · 23-bar low

$104.83
Deeper support zone

-36.54% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$88.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$123.92 - $155.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $120.39, invalidation $166.18

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.02 (11.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.21%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$176.61 / $110.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$123.92 / $155.96Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$225.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.9 / 39.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-9.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

203.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $120.39, invalidation $166.18

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.9 / 39.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-9.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.02 (11.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.21%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$176.61 / $110.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$123.92 / $155.96Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

203.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$225.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.83Range

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