US stock / ETF

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

SPCX · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish64%
1h Downside probability 64%Bearish

SPCX 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $141.35 and stabilize above resistance $148.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $148.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.5, MACD -0.008

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.98 (1.41%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$141.3Bearish
EMA 21$141.35Bearish
EMA 50$140.71Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.5 · MACD -0.008

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.98 · BB 5.87%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 55.5 · OBV -51.74%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$136.57 - $148.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.44% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$150.42
Nearest resistance

+6.02% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$148.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$140.01
Nearest support

-2.46% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$136.57
Deeper support zone

-3.87% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$134.59
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$138.03 - $141.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $145.06, invalidation $137.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 30.3 / 22.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$133.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$141.84 / $142.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.98 (1.41%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.87%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.64 / $137.05Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$138.03 / $141.99Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$148.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$136.57Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.008Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.2 / 47.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.74%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $145.06, invalidation $137.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 30.3 / 22.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$133.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$141.84 / $142.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.008Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.2 / 47.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.98 (1.41%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.87%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.64 / $137.05Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$138.03 / $141.99Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.74%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$148.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$136.57Range

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