US stock / ETF

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

SPCX · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish64%
1h Downside probability 64%Bearish

SPCX 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $160.77 and stabilize above resistance $194.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $194.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 39.3, MACD 0.692

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.24 (2.73%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$156.49Bearish
EMA 21$160.77Bearish
EMA 50$171.66Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.3 · MACD 0.692

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.24 · BB 9.92%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 64.7 · OBV 29.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$147.12 - $194.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.59% · 10.1 ATR above latest close

$198.56
Nearest resistance

+24.86% · 9.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$194.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$155.63
Nearest support

-5.47% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$147.12
Deeper support zone

-8.2% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$142.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$151.39 - $159.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $159.82, invalidation $150.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.3 / 24.2 / 28.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$145.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$162.56 / $186.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.24 (2.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.92%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$167.56 / $153.22Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$151.39 / $159.87Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$194.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$147.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.692Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.3 / 45.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $159.82, invalidation $150.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.3 / 24.2 / 28.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$145.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$162.56 / $186.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.692Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.3 / 45.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.24 (2.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.92%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$167.56 / $153.22Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$151.39 / $159.87Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$194.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$147.12Range

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