US stock / ETF

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

PYPL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish68%
4h Downside probability 68%Bearish

PYPL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $53.58 and stabilize above resistance $56.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $56.86 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.8, MACD -0.039

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5361 (1.02%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$53.31Bearish
EMA 21$53.58Bearish
EMA 50$54.53Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.8 · MACD -0.039

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5361 · BB 4.62%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 40.8 · OBV 71.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$50.67 - $56.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.9% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

$57.39
Nearest resistance

+7.88% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$56.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$52.7
Nearest support

-3.85% · 3.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$50.67
Deeper support zone

-4.87% · 4.8 ATR below latest close

$50.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$52.16 - $53.24

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $54.24, invalidation $53.51

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.6 / 8.4 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$51.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$52.96 / $53.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5361 (1.02%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.62%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$54.55 / $52.58Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$52.16 / $53.24Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$56.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$50.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.039Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.7 / 18.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

71.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.56xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $54.24, invalidation $53.51

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.6 / 8.4 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$51.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$52.96 / $53.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.039Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.7 / 18.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5361 (1.02%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.62%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$54.55 / $52.58Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$52.16 / $53.24Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

71.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.56xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$56.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$50.67Range

Related Forecasts