US stock / ETF

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

PYPL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish73%
4h Downside probability 73%Bearish

PYPL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $61.66 and stabilize above resistance $62.68.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $62.68 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.1, MACD -0.118

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4669 (0.76%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$61.71Bearish
EMA 21$61.66Bearish
EMA 50$60.88Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.1 · MACD -0.118

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4669 · BB 1.70%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 23.5 · OBV -25.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$59.61 - $62.68

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.6% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$63.15
Nearest resistance

+1.84% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$62.68
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$61.55
Nearest support

-3.15% · 4.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$59.61
Deeper support zone

-3.9% · 5.1 ATR below latest close

$59.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$61.08 - $62.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $61.32, invalidation $62.31

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.7 / 20.3 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$60.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$61.78 / $60.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4669 (0.76%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.70%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$62.49 / $60.86Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$61.08 / $62.01Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$62.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59.61Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.118Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.6 / 42.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.02xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $61.32, invalidation $62.31

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.7 / 20.3 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$60.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$61.78 / $60.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.118Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.6 / 42.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4669 (0.76%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.70%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$62.49 / $60.86Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$61.08 / $62.01Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.02xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$62.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59.61Range

Related Forecasts