US stock / ETF

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

PYPL · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish85%
3M Downside probability 85%Bearish

PYPL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $102.14 and stabilize above resistance $309.88.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $309.88 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $18.27 (41.25%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$60.94Bearish
EMA 21$102.14Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.1 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.27 · BB 236.49%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.7 · OBV -405.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$38.46 - $309.88

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+640.91% · 15.5 ATR above latest close

$328.15
Nearest resistance

+599.66% · 14.5 ATR above · 24-bar high

$309.88
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$44.29
Nearest support

-13.16% · 0.3 ATR below · 24-bar low

$38.46
Deeper support zone

-54.41% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$20.19
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$26.02 - $62.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $38.46, invalidation $79.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$9.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.27 (41.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 236.49%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.52 / $62.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$26.02 / $62.56Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$309.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$38.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 12.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-405.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.35xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $38.46, invalidation $79.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$9.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 12.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.27 (41.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 236.49%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.52 / $62.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$26.02 / $62.56Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-405.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.35xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$309.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$38.46Range

Related Forecasts