US stock / ETF

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

PYPL · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

PYPL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $59.9 and stabilize above resistance $93.66.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $93.66 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.2, MACD -0.684

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.96 (15.84%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$51.9Bullish
EMA 21$59.9Bearish
EMA 50$83.04Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.2 · MACD -0.684

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.96 · BB 80.72%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 27.4 · OBV -161.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$38.46 - $93.66

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+81.43% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$102.62
Nearest resistance

+65.59% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$93.66
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$56.56
Nearest support

-32% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$38.46
Deeper support zone

-47.84% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$29.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$47.6 - $65.52

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $38.46, invalidation $79.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.1 / 23.4 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$60.23 / $80.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.96 (15.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 80.72%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$78.62 / $40.06Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$47.6 / $65.52Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$38.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.684Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.1 / 23.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-161.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $38.46, invalidation $79.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.1 / 23.4 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$60.23 / $80.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.684Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.1 / 23.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.96 (15.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 80.72%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$78.62 / $40.06Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$47.6 / $65.52Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-161.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$38.46Range

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