US stock / ETF

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

PYPL · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

PYPL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $60.57 and stabilize above resistance $93.66.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $93.66 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.3, MACD -1.014

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.56 (19.32%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$50.81Bearish
EMA 21$60.57Bearish
EMA 50$91.95Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.3 · MACD -1.014

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.56 · BB 84.03%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 26.0 · OBV -152.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$38.46 - $93.66

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+130.79% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$102.22
Nearest resistance

+111.47% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$93.66
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$44.29
Nearest support

-13.16% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$38.46
Deeper support zone

-32.49% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$29.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$35.73 - $52.85

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $38.46, invalidation $79.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.8 / 20.3 / 28.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$62.45 / $80.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.56 (19.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 84.03%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$77.43 / $42.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$35.73 / $52.85Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$38.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.014Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.2 / 19.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-152.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.14xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $38.46, invalidation $79.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.8 / 20.3 / 28.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$62.45 / $80.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.014Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.2 / 19.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.56 (19.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 84.03%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$77.43 / $42.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$35.73 / $52.85Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-152.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.14xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$38.46Range

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