US stock / ETF

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

PYPL · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish74%
Monthly Downside probability 74%Bearish

PYPL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $58.32 and stabilize above resistance $93.66.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $93.66 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 44.6, MACD 0.614

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.78 (16.08%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$52.8Bullish
EMA 21$58.32Bearish
EMA 50$79.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.6 · MACD 0.614

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $8.78 · BB 66.14%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.0 · OBV -115.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$38.46 - $93.66

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+87.59% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$102.44
Nearest resistance

+71.51% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$93.66
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$54.61
Nearest support

-29.57% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$38.46
Deeper support zone

-45.65% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$29.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$45.83 - $63.39

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $62.73, invalidation $40.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.7 / 23.7 / 27.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$28.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$58.33 / $70.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.78 (16.08%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.14%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$74.88 / $40.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$45.83 / $63.39Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$38.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.614Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.6 / 36.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-37.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-115.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $62.73, invalidation $40.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.7 / 23.7 / 27.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$28.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$58.33 / $70.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.614Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.6 / 36.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-37.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.78 (16.08%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.14%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$74.88 / $40.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$45.83 / $63.39Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-115.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$38.46Range

Related Forecasts