US stock / ETF

NRG Energy, Inc.

NRG · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish80%
4h Downside probability 80%Bearish

NRG 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $135.38 and stabilize above resistance $144.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $144.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 27.1, MACD -0.916

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.13 (1.65%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$132.08Bearish
EMA 21$135.38Bearish
EMA 50$137.54Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 27.1 · MACD -0.916

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.13 · BB 11.59%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 14.8 · OBV -14.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$128.67 - $144.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.58% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$146.86
Nearest resistance

+11.92% · 7.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$144.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$129.31
Nearest support

-0.49% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$128.67
Deeper support zone

-2.15% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$126.54
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$127.18 - $131.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.67, invalidation $143.53

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 17.7 / 52.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$123.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$135.02 / $139.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.13 (1.65%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.59%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$139.06 / $131.36Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$127.18 / $131.44Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$144.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$128.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.916Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.3 / 8.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-142.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.22xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.67, invalidation $143.53

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 17.7 / 52.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$123.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$135.02 / $139.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.916Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.3 / 8.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-142.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.13 (1.65%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.59%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$139.06 / $131.36Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$127.18 / $131.44Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.22xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$144.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$128.67Range

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