US stock / ETF

NRG Energy, Inc.

NRG · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

NRG 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $121.44 and stabilize above resistance $189.96.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $189.96 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.1, MACD -2.173

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.35 (11.92%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$107.95Bearish
EMA 21$121.44Bearish
EMA 50$132.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD -2.173

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.35 · BB 48.27%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 18.0 · OBV -15.83%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$93.36 - $189.96

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+95.28% · 8.0 ATR above latest close

$202.31
Nearest resistance

+83.36% · 7.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$189.96
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$103.6
Nearest support

-9.89% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$93.36
Deeper support zone

-21.81% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$81.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$91.25 - $115.95

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $112.5, invalidation $121.68

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.4 / 4.6 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.44 / $141.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.35 (11.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.27%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$143.38 / $97.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.25 / $115.95Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$189.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.173Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.9 / 9.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-118.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.61xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $112.5, invalidation $121.68

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.4 / 4.6 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.44 / $141.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.173Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.9 / 9.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-118.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.35 (11.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.27%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$143.38 / $97.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.25 / $115.95Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.61xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$189.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.36Range

Related Forecasts