US stock / ETF

Nebius Group N.V.

NBIS · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish76%
4h Downside probability 76%Bearish

NBIS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $140.13 and stabilize above resistance $164.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $164.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.4, MACD -1.652

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.6 (8.28%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$137.65Bearish
EMA 21$140.13Bearish
EMA 50$145.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.4 · MACD -1.652

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.6 · BB 26.99%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.0 · OBV 10.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$114.3 - $164.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36.98% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$175.33
Nearest resistance

+28.7% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$164.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$128
Nearest support

-10.7% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$114.3
Deeper support zone

-18.99% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$103.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$117.4 - $138.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $164.73, invalidation $118.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 18.2 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$140.72 / $146.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.6 (8.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.99%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$161.91 / $118.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$117.4 / $138.6Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$164.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.652Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.0 / 18.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-80.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-118.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.19xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $164.73, invalidation $118.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 18.2 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$140.72 / $146.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.652Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.0 / 18.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-80.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-118.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.6 (8.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.99%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$161.91 / $118.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$117.4 / $138.6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.19xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$164.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.3Range

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