US stock / ETF

Nebius Group N.V.

NBIS · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish71%
4h Downside probability 71%Bearish

NBIS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $227.78 and stabilize above resistance $254.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $254 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.7, MACD -1.994

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.95 (3.1%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$228.74Bearish
EMA 21$227.78Bearish
EMA 50$223.46Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.7 · MACD -1.994

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.95 · BB 16.72%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.1 · OBV -5.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$193.12 - $254

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.24% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$260.95
Nearest resistance

+13.15% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$254
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$224.49
Nearest support

-13.97% · 4.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$193.12
Deeper support zone

-17.07% · 5.5 ATR below latest close

$186.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$217.54 - $231.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $226.5, invalidation $237.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.0 / 16.6 / 24.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$204.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$229.35 / $223.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.95 (3.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.72%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$241.34 / $214.71Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$217.54 / $231.44Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$254Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$193.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.994Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.6 / 9.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-62.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $226.5, invalidation $237.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.0 / 16.6 / 24.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$204.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$229.35 / $223.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.994Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.6 / 9.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-62.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.95 (3.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.72%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$241.34 / $214.71Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$217.54 / $231.44Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$254Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$193.12Range

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