US stock / ETF

Nebius Group N.V.

NBIS · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

NBIS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $231.34 and stabilize above resistance $284.88.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $284.88 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.4, MACD -3.063

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $11.5 (5.24%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$223.18Bearish
EMA 21$231.34Bearish
EMA 50$228.51Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.4 · MACD -3.063

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.5 · BB 37.13%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 12.9 · OBV -266.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$189.44 - $284.88

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.93% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$296.38
Nearest resistance

+29.7% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$284.88
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$219.65
Nearest support

-13.75% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$189.44
Deeper support zone

-18.99% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$177.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$208.15 - $231.15

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $212.71, invalidation $230

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.3 / 7.7 / 32.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$192.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$236.05 / $232.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.5 (5.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.13%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$248.8 / $213.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$208.15 / $231.15Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$284.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$189.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.063Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.4 / 14.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

12.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-266.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $212.71, invalidation $230

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.3 / 7.7 / 32.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$192.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$236.05 / $232.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.063Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.4 / 14.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.5 (5.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.13%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$248.8 / $213.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$208.15 / $231.15Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

12.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-266.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$284.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$189.44Range

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