US stock / ETF

Nebius Group N.V.

NBIS · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish78%
4h Downside probability 78%Bearish

NBIS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $211.5 and stabilize above resistance $242.18.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $242.18 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.8, MACD -0.795

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $9.37 (4.82%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$205.16Bearish
EMA 21$211.5Bearish
EMA 50$223.33Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.8 · MACD -0.795

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.37 · BB 17.78%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 20.2 · OBV 3.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$181.06 - $242.18

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.47% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$251.55
Nearest resistance

+24.64% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$242.18
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$194.3
Nearest support

-6.81% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$181.06
Deeper support zone

-11.64% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$171.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$184.93 - $203.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $207.65, invalidation $222.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.5 / 12.7 / 27.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$164.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.7 / $235.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.37 (4.82%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.78%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$230.8 / $191.32Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.93 / $203.67Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$242.18Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$181.06Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.795Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.2 / 9.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-152.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $207.65, invalidation $222.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.5 / 12.7 / 27.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$164.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.7 / $235.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.795Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.2 / 9.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-152.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.37 (4.82%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.78%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$230.8 / $191.32Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.93 / $203.67Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$242.18Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$181.06Range

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