US stock / ETF

Nebius Group N.V.

NBIS · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

NBIS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $168.29 and stabilize above resistance $210.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $210.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.2, MACD 0.537

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.51 (4.1%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$161.13Bearish
EMA 21$168.29Bearish
EMA 50$185Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.2 · MACD 0.537

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.51 · BB 17.15%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 24.8 · OBV -5.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$155 - $210.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36.74% · 9.0 ATR above latest close

$217.11
Nearest resistance

+32.64% · 8.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$210.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$158.78
Nearest support

-2.38% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$155
Deeper support zone

-6.48% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$148.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$152.27 - $165.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $155, invalidation $165.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.6 / 19.3 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$140.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$168.67 / $201.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.51 (4.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.15%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$179.59 / $155.77Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$152.27 / $165.29Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$210.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$155Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.537Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.9 / 16.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $155, invalidation $165.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.6 / 19.3 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$140.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$168.67 / $201.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.537Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.9 / 16.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.51 (4.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.15%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$179.59 / $155.77Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$152.27 / $165.29Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$210.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$155Range

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